Idioma:Español
Al-Riyadh v Al-Nassr
Resultado del partido
Al-Riyadh (Local)
Predicción 10.46%9.56momio equitativo
EV +9.82%
Ventaja +0.935%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.101%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.81%10.56%10.48%12.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.008.899.0010.5014.29%11.25%11.11%9.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Al-Nassr (Visitante)
Predicción 73.76%1.36momio equitativo
EV -6.33%
Ventaja -4.98%
Kelly -23.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.63%73.47%73.71%75.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.221.221.2784.75%81.72%81.97%78.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 15.78%6.34momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.321%
Kelly -0.383%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.03%15.98%15.81%17.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.585.506.2120.00%17.93%18.18%16.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Al-Riyadh (Local): 10.46%; Al-Nassr (Visitante): 73.76%; Empate: 15.78%. Para Al-Riyadh (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 9.56. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 10.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +9.82%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +9.82%E +0.935%K +1.03%G +0.101% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +4.59%E +0.459%K +0.510%G +0.023% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.42%EV +1.97%E +0.203%K +0.226%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.67%EV +0.929%E +0.096%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.03%EV -2.00%E -0.321%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -0.640%E -0.067%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.640%E -0.067%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -11.49%E -9.57%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.37I 10.67%NM 9.88%EV -2.00%E -0.213%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.66%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.46%EV -5.47%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.02%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -14.78%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.12%EV -11.49%E -9.57%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -16.36%E -3.09%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.12%EV -11.49%E -9.57%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -16.36%E -3.09%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.16%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.22%EV -12.96%E -10.99%K -72.02%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.62%EV -17.94%E -3.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 10.85%EV -14.24%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.54%EV -10.75%E -8.89%K -51.20%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.61%EV -10.04%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.57%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -21.56%E -2.87%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.89%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -26.79%E -3.83%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.63%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74% | 1.7% | 2026-08-19 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.15% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.91% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.15% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.91% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.99% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 48.18% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 43.24% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 8.58% | 82.1% | 2026-08-18 19:00 |
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