赔率学院

Al-Fateh v Al-Najma

开赛时间: 2026-05-14 15:55 UTC

最终结果: Al-Fateh 2–0 Al-Najma

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Al-Fateh (主队)

预测 59.13%1.69公平赔率
EV -4.22%
优势 -2.60%
Kelly -6.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
56.93%59.16%59.08%60.44%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.471.531.521.6268.03%65.36%65.79%61.73%MIN均值中位数MAX

Al-Najma (客队)

预测 19.59%5.10公平赔率
EV +9.52%
优势 +1.70%
Kelly +2.07%
增长率 +0.197%

假设最高赔率为 5.59

博彩公司预测分布
17.34%19.61%19.61%21.01%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.204.694.755.5923.81%21.33%21.05%17.89%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 21.28%4.70公平赔率
EV +1.30%
优势 +0.273%
Kelly +0.346%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 4.76

博彩公司预测分布
19.89%21.23%21.30%23.81%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.604.244.254.7627.78%23.57%23.53%21.01%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.85%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.34%EV +9.52%E +1.70%K +2.07%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 15:51
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.01%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -4.00%E -0.816%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -13.81%E -3.41%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 15:31
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.36%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 15:51
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 15:51
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:50
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:51
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:51
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:50
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:50
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:51
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.44%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.23%E -0.941%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 15:50
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 15:50
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.30%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.81%EV -6.35%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.89%EV +1.30%E +0.273%K +0.346%G +0.004%5.6%2026-05-14 15:46
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 15:20
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.36%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -6.36%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 59.98%EV -12.49%E -8.44%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -7.92%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 15:50
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 59.98%EV -12.49%E -8.44%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -7.92%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 15:50
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 15:19
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 15:51
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 15:51
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 15:51
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -13.08%E -8.90%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-14 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.97%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.57%EV -10.86%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.46%EV -11.68%E -2.82%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.81%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -8.49%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 15:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-14 15:30
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -23.39%E -6.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-14 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.57%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -13.79%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 15:25
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -17.71%E -4.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-14 15:51
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -17.71%E -4.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-14 15:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.4%2026-05-14 15:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.4%2026-05-14 15:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.4%2026-05-14 15:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.4%2026-05-14 15:21
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.72%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.9%2026-05-14 15:26