Die Schule der Quoten

Al-Fateh v Al-Najma

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-14 15:55 UTC

Endstand: Al-Fateh 2–0 Al-Najma

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

31 Wettanbieter (7 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Al-Fateh (Heim)

Prognose 59.13%1.69faire Quote
EV -4.22%
Vorteil -2.60%
Kelly -6.80%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.62

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.93%59.16%59.08%60.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.471.531.521.6268.03%65.36%65.79%61.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Al-Najma (Auswärts)

Prognose 19.59%5.10faire Quote
EV +9.52%
Vorteil +1.70%
Kelly +2.07%
Wachstum +0.197%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.59

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.34%19.61%19.61%21.01%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.204.694.755.5923.81%21.33%21.05%17.89%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 21.28%4.70faire Quote
EV +1.30%
Vorteil +0.273%
Kelly +0.346%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.76

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.89%21.23%21.30%23.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.604.244.254.7627.78%23.57%23.53%21.01%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (31 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.85%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.34%EV +9.52%E +1.70%K +2.07%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 15:51
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.01%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -4.00%E -0.816%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -13.81%E -3.41%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 15:31
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.36%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 15:51
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 15:51
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:50
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:51
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:51
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:50
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:50
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:51
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.44%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.23%E -0.941%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 15:50
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 15:50
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.30%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.81%EV -6.35%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.89%EV +1.30%E +0.273%K +0.346%G +0.004%5.6%2026-05-14 15:46
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 15:20
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.36%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -6.36%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 59.98%EV -12.49%E -8.44%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -7.92%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 15:50
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 59.98%EV -12.49%E -8.44%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -7.92%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 15:50
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 15:19
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 15:51
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 15:51
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 15:51
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -13.08%E -8.90%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-14 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.97%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.57%EV -10.86%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.46%EV -11.68%E -2.82%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.81%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -8.49%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 15:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-14 15:30
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -23.39%E -6.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-14 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.57%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -13.79%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 15:25
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -17.71%E -4.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-14 15:51
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -17.71%E -4.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-14 15:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.4%2026-05-14 15:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.4%2026-05-14 15:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.4%2026-05-14 15:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.4%2026-05-14 15:21
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.72%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.9%2026-05-14 15:26