مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Al-Fateh v Al-Najma
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Al-Fateh (المضيف)
التنبؤ 59.13%1.69السعر العادل
EV -4.22%
الأفضلية -2.60%
Kelly -6.80%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.93%59.16%59.08%60.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.531.521.6268.03%65.36%65.79%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Al-Najma (الضيف)
التنبؤ 19.59%5.10السعر العادل
EV +9.52%
الأفضلية +1.70%
Kelly +2.07%
النمو +0.197%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.59
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.34%19.61%19.61%21.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.694.755.5923.81%21.33%21.05%17.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 21.28%4.70السعر العادل
EV +1.30%
الأفضلية +0.273%
Kelly +0.346%
النمو +0.004%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.76
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.89%21.23%21.30%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.244.254.7627.78%23.57%23.53%21.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (31 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.85%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.34%EV +9.52%E +1.70%K +2.07%G +0.197% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.01%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -4.00%E -0.816%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -13.81%E -3.41%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 15:31 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.36%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.44%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.23%E -0.941%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.30%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.81%EV -6.35%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.89%EV +1.30%E +0.273%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 15:46 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-14 15:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.36%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -6.36%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.98%EV -12.49%E -8.44%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -7.92%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.98%EV -12.49%E -8.44%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -7.92%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 15:19 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -13.08%E -8.90%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.97%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.57%EV -10.86%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.46%EV -11.68%E -2.82%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-14 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.81%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -8.49%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-14 15:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -23.39%E -6.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.57%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -13.79%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-14 15:25 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -17.71%E -4.22%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -17.71%E -4.22%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-14 15:20 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 15:21 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.72% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 1.9% | 2026-05-14 15:26 |