La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Fateh v Al-Najma
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Fateh (Local)
Predicción 59.13%1.69momio equitativo
EV -4.22%
Ventaja -2.60%
Kelly -6.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.93%59.16%59.08%60.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.531.521.6268.03%65.36%65.79%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Najma (Visitante)
Predicción 19.59%5.10momio equitativo
EV +9.52%
Ventaja +1.70%
Kelly +2.07%
Crecimiento +0.197%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.34%19.61%19.61%21.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.694.755.5923.81%21.33%21.05%17.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.28%4.70momio equitativo
EV +1.30%
Ventaja +0.273%
Kelly +0.346%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.89%21.23%21.30%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.244.254.7627.78%23.57%23.53%21.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.85%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.34%EV +9.52%E +1.70%K +2.07%G +0.197% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.01%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -4.00%E -0.816%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -13.81%E -3.41%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 15:31 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.36%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.44%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.23%E -0.941%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.30%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.81%EV -6.35%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.89%EV +1.30%E +0.273%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 15:46 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-14 15:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.36%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -6.36%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.98%EV -12.49%E -8.44%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -7.92%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.98%EV -12.49%E -8.44%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -7.92%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 15:19 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -13.08%E -8.90%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.97%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.57%EV -10.86%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.46%EV -11.68%E -2.82%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-14 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.81%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -8.49%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-14 15:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -23.39%E -6.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.57%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -13.79%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-14 15:25 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -17.71%E -4.22%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -17.71%E -4.22%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-14 15:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 15:21 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.72% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 1.9% | 2026-05-14 15:26 |