L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Fateh v Al-Najma
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Fateh (Local)
Prévision 59.13%1.69cote équitable
EV -4.22%
Avantage -2.60%
Kelly -6.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.93%59.16%59.08%60.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.531.521.6268.03%65.36%65.79%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Najma (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.59%5.10cote équitable
EV +9.52%
Avantage +1.70%
Kelly +2.07%
Croissance +0.197%
avec la cote maximale 5.59
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.34%19.61%19.61%21.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.694.755.5923.81%21.33%21.05%17.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.28%4.70cote équitable
EV +1.30%
Avantage +0.273%
Kelly +0.346%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 4.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.89%21.23%21.30%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.244.254.7627.78%23.57%23.53%21.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.85%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.34%EV +9.52%E +1.70%K +2.07%G +0.197% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.01%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -4.00%E -0.816%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -13.81%E -3.41%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 15:31 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.36%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.44%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.23%E -0.941%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.30%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.81%EV -6.35%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.89%EV +1.30%E +0.273%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 15:46 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-14 15:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.36%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -6.36%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.98%EV -12.49%E -8.44%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -7.92%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.98%EV -12.49%E -8.44%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -7.92%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 15:19 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -13.08%E -8.90%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-14 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.97%EV -10.72%E -7.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.57%EV -10.86%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.46%EV -11.68%E -2.82%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-14 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.81%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -8.49%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-14 15:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -11.83%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -23.39%E -6.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.57%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -13.79%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-14 15:25 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -17.71%E -4.22%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -17.71%E -4.22%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-14 15:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 15:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 15:21 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.72% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 1.9% | 2026-05-14 15:26 |