Language:English
Tondela v Moreirense FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tondela (Local)
Prediction 49.05%2.04fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.03%49.15%49.09%51.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.881.901.9856.82%53.26%52.63%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Moreirense FC (Visit)
Prediction 23.51%4.25fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.257%
Kelly +0.334%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.68%23.51%23.44%25.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.024.004.3027.78%24.89%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.729%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%27.34%27.47%28.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.5533.33%29.51%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tondela (Local): 49.05%; Moreirense FC (Visit): 23.51%; Draw: 27.44%. For Moreirense FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.07%EV -11.22%E -6.20%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.07%EV -11.22%E -6.20%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.07%EV -11.22%E -6.20%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -12.70%E -7.13%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -12.70%E -7.13%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -2.42%E -0.584%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -2.59%E -0.729%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.01%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.50%EV -2.89%E -0.701%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.49%EV -3.14%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 18:33 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.95%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.80%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.50%EV -3.83%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.70%EV -4.78%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.51%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.24%EV -4.30%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -4.78%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 18:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 16:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 18:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.42%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.13%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -9.48%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -9.48%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.28%E -4.43%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -13.00%E -3.51%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -13.00%E -3.51%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -15.36%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -17.68%E -5.89%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 1.6% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |