Школа коэффициентов

Tondela v Moreirense FC

Начало: 2026-05-11 19:15 UTC

Итог: Tondela 2–0 Moreirense FC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Tondela (Хозяева)

Прогноз 49.05%2.04справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.89%
Преимущество -1.46%
Kelly -2.95%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.98

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.03%49.15%49.09%51.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.761.881.901.9856.82%53.26%52.63%50.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Moreirense FC (Гости)

Прогноз 23.51%4.25справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.10%
Преимущество +0.257%
Kelly +0.334%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.68%23.51%23.44%25.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.024.004.3027.78%24.89%25.00%23.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.44%3.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.59%
Преимущество -0.729%
Kelly -1.01%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.55

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.03%27.34%27.47%28.80%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.393.403.5533.33%29.51%29.41%28.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:35
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:35
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:34
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:35
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:34
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:35
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:35
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:35
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.07%EV -11.22%E -6.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.07%EV -11.22%E -6.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.07%EV -11.22%E -6.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:34
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -12.70%E -7.13%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -12.70%E -7.13%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -2.42%E -0.584%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -2.59%E -0.729%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:19
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.01%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.50%EV -2.89%E -0.701%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.49%EV -3.14%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 18:35
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 18:20
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 18:33
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 50.95%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-11 18:34
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.80%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.50%EV -3.83%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.70%EV -4.78%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 18:35
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.51%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.24%EV -4.30%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -4.78%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 18:33
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 16:24
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:33
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:34
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 18:34
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:19
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.42%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.13%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:19
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:35
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:19
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 18:19
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -9.48%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:34
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -9.48%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-11 18:34
Sky Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:34
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.28%E -4.43%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-11 18:34
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 18:34
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 18:35
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 18:34
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -13.00%E -3.51%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -13.00%E -3.51%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -15.36%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -17.68%E -5.89%K -8.84%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-11 18:19
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-05-11 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-05-11 18:35
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-05-11 18:35