Oddsskolan

Tondela v Moreirense FC

Matchstart: 2026-05-11 19:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Tondela 2–0 Moreirense FC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Tondela (Hemma)

Prognos 49.05%2.04rättvist odds
EV -2.89%
Fördel -1.46%
Kelly -2.95%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.98

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.03%49.15%49.09%51.53%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.761.881.901.9856.82%53.26%52.63%50.51%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Moreirense FC (Borta)

Prognos 23.51%4.25rättvist odds
EV +1.10%
Fördel +0.257%
Kelly +0.334%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.68%23.51%23.44%25.17%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.604.024.004.3027.78%24.89%25.00%23.26%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.44%3.64rättvist odds
EV -2.59%
Fördel -0.729%
Kelly -1.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.03%27.34%27.47%28.80%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.003.393.403.5533.33%29.51%29.41%28.17%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:35
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:35
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:34
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:35
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:34
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:35
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:35
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:35
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.07%EV -11.22%E -6.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.07%EV -11.22%E -6.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.07%EV -11.22%E -6.20%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:34
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -12.70%E -7.13%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -12.70%E -7.13%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -2.42%E -0.584%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -2.59%E -0.729%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:19
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.01%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.50%EV -2.89%E -0.701%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.49%EV -3.14%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 18:35
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 18:20
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 18:33
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -7.30%E -3.86%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 50.95%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -3.60%E -0.878%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-11 18:34
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.80%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.50%EV -3.83%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.70%EV -4.78%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 18:35
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.51%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.24%EV -4.30%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -4.78%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 18:33
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 16:24
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:33
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:34
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 18:34
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:19
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.42%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.13%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:19
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:35
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -11.71%E -6.51%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:19
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -10.73%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 18:19
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -9.48%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:34
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -9.48%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-11 18:34
Sky Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:34
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.28%E -4.43%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-11 18:34
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 18:34
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 18:35
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.83%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 18:34
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -13.00%E -3.51%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -13.00%E -3.51%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -15.36%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -17.68%E -5.89%K -8.84%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-11 18:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-05-11 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-05-11 18:35
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-05-11 18:35