La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Sporting Lisbon v Gil Vicente
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Sporting Lisbon (Casa)
Previsione 76.00%1.32quota equa
EV -4.24%
Vantaggio -3.37%
Kelly -16.31%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.26
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.86%75.88%75.90%77.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.231.231.2686.21%81.61%81.63%79.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Gil Vicente (Trasferta)
Previsione 8.65%11.56quota equa
EV +3.83%
Vantaggio +0.319%
Kelly +0.348%
Crescita +0.013%
ipotizzando la quota massima 12.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.78%8.75%8.69%10.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.5010.3510.0012.0011.76%9.66%10.00%8.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 15.35%6.52quota equa
EV +1.15%
Vantaggio +0.174%
Kelly +0.205%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.59
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.18%15.37%15.41%17.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.926.006.5920.00%16.91%16.67%15.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -8.80%E -7.33%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +3.83%E +0.319%K +0.348%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.236%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.99%EV -8.80%E -7.33%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 7.86%EV +1.66%E +0.142%K +0.155%G +0.003% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.15%EV -6.38%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 22:03 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -8.04%E -6.65%K -38.29%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -0.499%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.31%E -0.525%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 09:49 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -0.499%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -17.12%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 09:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -0.499%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -17.12%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 09:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.31%EV -11.08%E -9.47%K -65.18%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV -0.499%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.83%EV -6.38%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-12 09:53 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.76%EV -4.24%E -3.37%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 11.30I 8.85%NM 8.56%EV -2.23%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.68%EV +1.15%E +0.174%K +0.205%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 01:44 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -0.236%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 20:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.236%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 20:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -4.24%E -3.37%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -6.52%E -5.30%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 21:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 10.51I 9.51%NM 8.91%EV -9.07%E -0.863%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 07:52 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -9.15%E -0.872%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 21:00 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 20:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -15.58%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 21:57 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -15.58%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-11 22:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -11.08%E -9.47%K -65.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -15.58%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -17.80%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -23.26%E -4.65%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -22.13%E -2.46%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -0.236%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 09:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -22.13%E -2.46%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -15.58%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.73%EV -10.32%E -8.75%K -57.34%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -22.13%E -2.46%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.47%EV -12.51%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.36%EV -6.52%E -5.30%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.39%EV -23.86%E -2.71%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.36%EV -6.52%E -5.30%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.39%EV -23.86%E -2.71%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 09:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 73.32%EV -11.84%E -10.21%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.01%EV -26.46%E -3.11%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.68%EV -21.72%E -4.26%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.22% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.04% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74% | 13.7% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.22% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.04% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74% | 13.7% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.22% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.04% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74% | 13.7% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 78.40% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.12% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.48% | 17.0% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |