مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Sporting Lisbon v Gil Vicente
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Sporting Lisbon (المضيف)
التنبؤ 76.00%1.32السعر العادل
EV -4.24%
الأفضلية -3.37%
Kelly -16.31%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.26
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.86%75.88%75.90%77.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.161.231.231.2686.21%81.61%81.63%79.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Gil Vicente (الضيف)
التنبؤ 8.65%11.56السعر العادل
EV +3.83%
الأفضلية +0.319%
Kelly +0.348%
النمو +0.013%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.78%8.75%8.69%10.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.5010.3510.0012.0011.76%9.66%10.00%8.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 15.35%6.52السعر العادل
EV +1.15%
الأفضلية +0.174%
Kelly +0.205%
النمو +0.002%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.59
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.18%15.37%15.41%17.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.926.006.5920.00%16.91%16.67%15.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (36 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -8.80%E -7.33%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +3.83%E +0.319%K +0.348%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.236%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.99%EV -8.80%E -7.33%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 7.86%EV +1.66%E +0.142%K +0.155%G +0.003% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.15%EV -6.38%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 22:03 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -8.04%E -6.65%K -38.29%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -0.499%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.31%E -0.525%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 09:49 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -0.499%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -17.12%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 09:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -0.499%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -17.12%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 09:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.31%EV -11.08%E -9.47%K -65.18%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV -0.499%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.83%EV -6.38%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-12 09:53 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.76%EV -4.24%E -3.37%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 11.30I 8.85%NM 8.56%EV -2.23%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.68%EV +1.15%E +0.174%K +0.205%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 01:44 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -0.236%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 20:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.236%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 20:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -4.24%E -3.37%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -6.52%E -5.30%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 21:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 10.51I 9.51%NM 8.91%EV -9.07%E -0.863%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 07:52 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -9.15%E -0.872%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 21:00 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 20:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -15.58%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 21:57 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -15.58%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-11 22:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -11.08%E -9.47%K -65.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -15.58%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -17.80%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -23.26%E -4.65%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -22.13%E -2.46%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -0.236%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 09:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -22.13%E -2.46%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -15.58%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.73%EV -10.32%E -8.75%K -57.34%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -22.13%E -2.46%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.47%EV -12.51%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.36%EV -6.52%E -5.30%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.39%EV -23.86%E -2.71%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.36%EV -6.52%E -5.30%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.39%EV -23.86%E -2.71%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 09:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 73.32%EV -11.84%E -10.21%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.01%EV -26.46%E -3.11%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.68%EV -21.72%E -4.26%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.22% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.04% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74% | 13.7% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.22% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.04% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74% | 13.7% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.22% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.04% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74% | 13.7% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 78.40% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.12% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.48% | 17.0% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |