Die Schule der Quoten

Sporting Lisbon v Gil Vicente

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-17 16:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

36 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sporting Lisbon (Heim)

Prognose 76.00%1.32faire Quote
EV -4.24%
Vorteil -3.37%
Kelly -16.31%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.26

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.86%75.88%75.90%77.84%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.161.231.231.2686.21%81.61%81.63%79.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Gil Vicente (Auswärts)

Prognose 8.65%11.56faire Quote
EV +3.83%
Vorteil +0.319%
Kelly +0.348%
Wachstum +0.013%

bei einer Höchstquote von 12.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.78%8.75%8.69%10.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
8.5010.3510.0012.0011.76%9.66%10.00%8.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 15.35%6.52faire Quote
EV +1.15%
Vorteil +0.174%
Kelly +0.205%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.59

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.18%15.37%15.41%17.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.005.926.006.5920.00%16.91%16.67%15.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (36 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -8.80%E -7.33%K -44.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +3.83%E +0.319%K +0.348%G +0.013%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.236%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 23:39
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.99%EV -8.80%E -7.33%K -44.00%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.86%EV +1.66%E +0.142%K +0.155%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.15%EV -6.38%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 22:03
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -8.04%E -6.65%K -38.29%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -0.499%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.31%E -0.525%K -0.624%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 09:49
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -0.499%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -17.12%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 09:14
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -0.499%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -17.12%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 09:14
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.31%EV -11.08%E -9.47%K -65.18%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV -0.499%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.83%EV -6.38%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-12 09:53
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.76%EV -4.24%E -3.37%K -16.31%G +0.000%11.30I 8.85%NM 8.56%EV -2.23%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.68%EV +1.15%E +0.174%K +0.205%G +0.002%3.4%2026-05-12 01:44
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -0.236%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 20:50
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.236%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 20:59
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -4.24%E -3.37%K -16.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:00
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 22:19
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -6.52%E -5.30%K -28.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 22:04
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 21:59
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 22:19
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.83%E -0.439%K -0.483%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 22:20
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -5.76%E -4.65%K -24.00%G +0.000%10.51I 9.51%NM 8.91%EV -9.07%E -0.863%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 07:52
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -9.15%E -0.872%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 21:00
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 20:54
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 20:55
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -20.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -15.58%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 21:57
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 09:09
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 09:14
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 09:09
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 09:09
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 08:49
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -15.58%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-11 22:03
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -11.08%E -9.47%K -65.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -13.48%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -15.58%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-11 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -17.80%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -23.26%E -4.65%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-11 22:44
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -22.13%E -2.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -0.236%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 09:54
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -7.28%E -5.97%K -33.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -22.13%E -2.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -15.58%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-11 22:19
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.73%EV -10.32%E -8.75%K -57.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -22.13%E -2.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.47%EV -12.51%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-11 22:04
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 74.36%EV -6.52%E -5.30%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.39%EV -23.86%E -2.71%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 09:19
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 74.36%EV -6.52%E -5.30%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.39%EV -23.86%E -2.71%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -7.91%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 09:19
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 73.32%EV -11.84%E -10.21%K -74.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.01%EV -26.46%E -3.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.68%EV -21.72%E -4.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-11 22:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 79.22%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.04%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74%13.7%2026-05-12 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 79.22%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.04%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74%13.7%2026-05-12 07:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 79.22%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.04%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74%13.7%2026-05-12 07:54
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 78.40%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.48%17.0%2026-05-12 08:00