A Escola das Odds

Sporting Lisbon v Estoril

Início: 2026-02-27 20:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sporting Lisbon (Local)

Previsão 79.88%1.25odd justa
EV -2.54%
Vantagem -2.08%
Kelly -11.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.28%79.95%79.89%81.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.68%85.47%81.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Estoril (Visitante)

Previsão 7.56%13.22odd justa
EV +6.63%
Vantagem +0.470%
Kelly +0.506%
Crescimento +0.034%

pressupondo odds máximas de 14.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.60%7.60%7.55%9.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.0012.2912.5014.1010.00%8.14%8.00%7.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 12.56%7.96odd justa
EV +9.86%
Vantagem +1.13%
Kelly +1.27%
Crescimento +0.125%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.80%12.44%12.56%13.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.757.427.408.7514.81%13.47%13.51%11.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.48%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.72%EV -7.36%E -0.601%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV +9.86%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.125%5.8%2026-02-27 20:24
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.33%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%4.2%2026-02-27 20:39
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.33%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%4.2%2026-02-27 20:39
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.85%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%7.2%2026-02-27 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -13.03%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%7.4%2026-02-27 20:04
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 81.76%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%14.10I 7.09%NM 6.78%EV +6.63%E +0.470%K +0.506%G +0.034%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.46%EV +4.83%E +0.579%K +0.658%G +0.032%4.5%2026-02-27 20:34
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 81.44%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV +3.58%E +0.434%K +0.494%G +0.018%6.8%2026-02-27 20:38
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.440%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 20:09
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.25%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +0.440%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 20:04
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.29%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%12.40I 8.06%NM 7.64%EV -6.23%E -0.502%K -0.546%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.07%EV -1.44%E -0.184%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 20:39
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -2.07%E -0.265%K -0.305%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 20:24
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -2.54%E -2.08%K -11.56%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.95%EV -7.74%E -0.634%K -0.691%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.52%EV -2.70%E -0.348%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-27 20:34
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.33%EV -3.58%E -0.281%K -0.305%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.13%EV -3.33%E -0.432%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 20:39
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 20:29
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 05:34
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 19:54
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 19:54
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 05:35
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 20:29
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 20:30
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 20:19
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:04
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:03
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -9.73%E -8.61%K -74.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 20:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.70%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -24.38%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 20:25
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 79.89%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -7.09%E -0.958%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 20:19
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.89%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -7.09%E -0.958%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:34
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:35
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.60%EV -10.53%E -9.40%K -87.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 20:04
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 20:29
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 20:29
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 20:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 20:29
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:55
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:14
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:39
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:38
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:39
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:39
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:54
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 20:19
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.24%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.86%EV -13.03%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 20:39
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 79.27%EV -9.73%E -8.61%K -74.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -15.25%E -2.26%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:35
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:34
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.97%17.01I 5.88%NM 5.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22%1.3%2026-02-27 20:34