Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Sporting Lisbon v Estoril

Początek: 2026-02-27 20:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Sporting Lisbon (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 79.88%1.25kurs godziwy
EV -2.54%
Przewaga -2.08%
Kelly -11.56%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.22

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.28%79.95%79.89%81.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.68%85.47%81.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Estoril (Goście)

Prognoza 7.56%13.22kurs godziwy
EV +6.63%
Przewaga +0.470%
Kelly +0.506%
Wzrost +0.034%

przy maksymalnym kursie 14.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
6.60%7.60%7.55%9.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
10.0012.2912.5014.1010.00%8.14%8.00%7.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 12.56%7.96kurs godziwy
EV +9.86%
Przewaga +1.13%
Kelly +1.27%
Wzrost +0.125%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
10.80%12.44%12.56%13.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.757.427.408.7514.81%13.47%13.51%11.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Sporting Lisbon (Gospodarze): 79.88%; Estoril (Goście): 7.56%; Remis: 12.56%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 7.96. 9 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 8.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +9.86%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.48%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.72%EV -7.36%E -0.601%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV +9.86%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.125%5.8%2026-02-27 20:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.33%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%4.2%2026-02-27 20:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.33%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%4.2%2026-02-27 20:39
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.85%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%7.2%2026-02-27 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -13.03%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%7.4%2026-02-27 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.76%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%14.10I 7.09%NM 6.78%EV +6.63%E +0.470%K +0.506%G +0.034%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.46%EV +4.83%E +0.579%K +0.658%G +0.032%4.5%2026-02-27 20:34
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.44%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV +3.58%E +0.434%K +0.494%G +0.018%6.8%2026-02-27 20:38
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.440%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.25%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +0.440%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 20:04
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.29%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%12.40I 8.06%NM 7.64%EV -6.23%E -0.502%K -0.546%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.07%EV -1.44%E -0.184%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 20:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -2.07%E -0.265%K -0.305%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 20:24
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -2.54%E -2.08%K -11.56%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.95%EV -7.74%E -0.634%K -0.691%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.52%EV -2.70%E -0.348%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-27 20:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.33%EV -3.58%E -0.281%K -0.305%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.13%EV -3.33%E -0.432%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 20:39
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 20:29
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 05:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 19:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 19:54
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 05:35
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 20:29
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 20:30
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 20:19
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:04
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:03
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -9.73%E -8.61%K -74.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 20:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.70%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -24.38%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 20:25
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.89%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -7.09%E -0.958%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 20:19
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.89%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -7.09%E -0.958%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:34
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.60%EV -10.53%E -9.40%K -87.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 20:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 20:29
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 20:29
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:14
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:39
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:38
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:39
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:54
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 20:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.24%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.86%EV -13.03%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 20:39
LeoVegas🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.27%EV -9.73%E -8.61%K -74.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -15.25%E -2.26%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:54
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:35
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:34
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.97%17.01I 5.88%NM 5.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22%1.3%2026-02-27 20:34