La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sporting Lisbon v Estoril
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sporting Lisbon (Local)
Predicción 79.88%1.25momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -11.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.28%79.95%79.89%81.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.68%85.47%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Estoril (Visitante)
Predicción 7.56%13.22momio equitativo
EV +6.63%
Ventaja +0.470%
Kelly +0.506%
Crecimiento +0.034%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.60%7.60%7.55%9.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.0012.2912.5014.1010.00%8.14%8.00%7.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 12.56%7.96momio equitativo
EV +9.86%
Ventaja +1.13%
Kelly +1.27%
Crecimiento +0.125%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.80%12.44%12.56%13.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.757.427.408.7514.81%13.47%13.51%11.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.48%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.72%EV -7.36%E -0.601%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV +9.86%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.125% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 20:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.33%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.33%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.85%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -13.03%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 20:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.76%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 14.10I 7.09%NM 6.78%EV +6.63%E +0.470%K +0.506%G +0.034% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.46%EV +4.83%E +0.579%K +0.658%G +0.032% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| Bovada | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.44%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV +3.58%E +0.434%K +0.494%G +0.018% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 20:38 |
| Everygame | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.440%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 20:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.25%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +0.440%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 20:04 |
| BetUS | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.29%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 12.40I 8.06%NM 7.64%EV -6.23%E -0.502%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 12.07%EV -1.44%E -0.184%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -2.07%E -0.265%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 20:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -2.54%E -2.08%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.95%EV -7.74%E -0.634%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.52%EV -2.70%E -0.348%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.33%EV -3.58%E -0.281%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.13%EV -3.33%E -0.432%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 05:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 05:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 05:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 20:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 20:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:03 |
| FanDuel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -9.73%E -8.61%K -74.87%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 20:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.70%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -24.38%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 20:25 |
| Betsson | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.89%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -7.09%E -0.958%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 20:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.89%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -7.09%E -0.958%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 05:34 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 05:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.60%EV -10.53%E -9.40%K -87.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 20:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Casumo | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 19:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 20:14 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| William Hill | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 20:38 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 20:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.24%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.86%EV -13.03%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.27%EV -9.73%E -8.61%K -74.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -15.25%E -2.26%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-27 19:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 20:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.97% | 17.01I 5.88%NM 5.80% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22% | 1.3% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |