مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sporting Lisbon v Estoril

البداية: 2026-02-27 20:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sporting Lisbon (المضيف)

التنبؤ 79.88%1.25السعر العادل
EV -2.54%
الأفضلية -2.08%
Kelly -11.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.28%79.95%79.89%81.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.68%85.47%81.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Estoril (الضيف)

التنبؤ 7.56%13.22السعر العادل
EV +6.63%
الأفضلية +0.470%
Kelly +0.506%
النمو +0.034%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 14.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.60%7.60%7.55%9.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
10.0012.2912.5014.1010.00%8.14%8.00%7.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 12.56%7.96السعر العادل
EV +9.86%
الأفضلية +1.13%
Kelly +1.27%
النمو +0.125%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.80%12.44%12.56%13.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.757.427.408.7514.81%13.47%13.51%11.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.48%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.72%EV -7.36%E -0.601%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV +9.86%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.125%5.8%2026-02-27 20:24
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.33%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%4.2%2026-02-27 20:39
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.33%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%4.2%2026-02-27 20:39
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.85%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%7.2%2026-02-27 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -13.03%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%7.4%2026-02-27 20:04
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 81.76%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%14.10I 7.09%NM 6.78%EV +6.63%E +0.470%K +0.506%G +0.034%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.46%EV +4.83%E +0.579%K +0.658%G +0.032%4.5%2026-02-27 20:34
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 81.44%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV +3.58%E +0.434%K +0.494%G +0.018%6.8%2026-02-27 20:38
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.440%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 20:09
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.25%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +0.440%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 20:04
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.29%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%12.40I 8.06%NM 7.64%EV -6.23%E -0.502%K -0.546%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.07%EV -1.44%E -0.184%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 20:39
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -2.07%E -0.265%K -0.305%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 20:24
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -2.54%E -2.08%K -11.56%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.95%EV -7.74%E -0.634%K -0.691%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.52%EV -2.70%E -0.348%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-27 20:34
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.33%EV -3.58%E -0.281%K -0.305%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.13%EV -3.33%E -0.432%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 20:39
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 20:29
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 05:34
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 19:54
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 19:54
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 05:35
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 20:29
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 20:30
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 20:19
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:04
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:03
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -9.73%E -8.61%K -74.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 20:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.70%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -24.38%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 20:25
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 79.89%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -7.09%E -0.958%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 20:19
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.89%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -7.09%E -0.958%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:34
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:35
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.60%EV -10.53%E -9.40%K -87.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 20:04
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 20:29
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 20:29
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 20:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 20:29
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:55
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:14
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:39
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:38
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:39
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:39
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:54
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 20:19
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.24%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.86%EV -13.03%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 20:39
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 79.27%EV -9.73%E -8.61%K -74.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -15.25%E -2.26%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:35
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:34
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.97%17.01I 5.88%NM 5.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22%1.3%2026-02-27 20:34