Die Schule der Quoten

Sporting Lisbon v Estoril

Spielbeginn: 2026-02-27 20:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sporting Lisbon (Heim)

Prognose 79.88%1.25faire Quote
EV -2.54%
Vorteil -2.08%
Kelly -11.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.22

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
78.28%79.95%79.89%81.85%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.68%85.47%81.97%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Estoril (Auswärts)

Prognose 7.56%13.22faire Quote
EV +6.63%
Vorteil +0.470%
Kelly +0.506%
Wachstum +0.034%

bei einer Höchstquote von 14.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
6.60%7.60%7.55%9.13%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
10.0012.2912.5014.1010.00%8.14%8.00%7.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 12.56%7.96faire Quote
EV +9.86%
Vorteil +1.13%
Kelly +1.27%
Wachstum +0.125%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.80%12.44%12.56%13.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.757.427.408.7514.81%13.47%13.51%11.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.48%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.72%EV -7.36%E -0.601%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV +9.86%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.125%5.8%2026-02-27 20:24
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.33%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%4.2%2026-02-27 20:39
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.33%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%4.2%2026-02-27 20:39
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.85%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%7.2%2026-02-27 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -13.03%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +6.72%E +0.790%K +0.896%G +0.060%7.4%2026-02-27 20:04
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 81.76%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%14.10I 7.09%NM 6.78%EV +6.63%E +0.470%K +0.506%G +0.034%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.46%EV +4.83%E +0.579%K +0.658%G +0.032%4.5%2026-02-27 20:34
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 81.44%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV +3.58%E +0.434%K +0.494%G +0.018%6.8%2026-02-27 20:38
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.440%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 20:09
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.25%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +0.440%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 20:04
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.29%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%12.40I 8.06%NM 7.64%EV -6.23%E -0.502%K -0.546%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.07%EV -1.44%E -0.184%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 20:39
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -2.07%E -0.265%K -0.305%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 20:24
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -2.54%E -2.08%K -11.56%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.95%EV -7.74%E -0.634%K -0.691%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.52%EV -2.70%E -0.348%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-27 20:34
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.33%EV -3.58%E -0.281%K -0.305%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.13%EV -3.33%E -0.432%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 20:39
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 20:29
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 05:34
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 19:54
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 19:54
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.70%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 05:35
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 20:29
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 20:30
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 20:19
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:04
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:03
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -9.73%E -8.61%K -74.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 20:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.70%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -24.38%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -5.84%E -0.778%K -0.898%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 20:25
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 79.89%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -7.09%E -0.958%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 20:19
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.89%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -7.09%E -0.958%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:34
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:35
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.60%EV -10.53%E -9.40%K -87.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -8.98%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 20:04
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 20:29
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.87%E +0.420%K +0.452%G +0.027%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 20:29
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 20:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.69%E -0.130%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 20:29
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:55
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:54
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:14
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:39
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:38
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:39
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.81%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 20:39
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.34%E -6.32%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -5.47%E -0.438%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:54
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:54
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.14%E -7.07%K -54.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 20:19
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.24%EV -8.93%E -7.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.86%EV -13.03%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -12.11%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 20:39
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 79.27%EV -9.73%E -8.61%K -74.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -9.25%E -0.771%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -15.25%E -2.26%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:35
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.99%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.32%0.4%2026-02-27 20:34
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.97%17.01I 5.88%NM 5.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22%1.3%2026-02-27 20:34