Oddsskolan

Santa Clara v Nacional

Matchstart: 2026-05-10 19:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Santa Clara (Hemma)

Prognos 45.47%2.20rättvist odds
EV -3.61%
Fördel -1.70%
Kelly -3.23%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.78%45.63%45.49%48.57%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.832.012.022.1254.64%49.68%49.38%47.17%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Nacional (Borta)

Prognos 26.01%3.84rättvist odds
EV +0.156%
Fördel +0.040%
Kelly +0.055%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.71%25.86%25.98%27.04%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.203.593.603.8531.25%27.86%27.78%25.97%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.52%3.51rättvist odds
EV -2.75%
Fördel -0.805%
Kelly -1.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.13%28.51%28.53%29.75%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.883.263.253.4134.72%30.67%30.77%29.33%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV +0.156%E +0.040%K +0.055%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:28
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 12:28
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 12:29
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -13.62%E -7.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 12:30
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.95%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.90%EV -3.60%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 00:25
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.43%EV -2.75%E -0.805%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 14:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 15:00
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 15:00
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 15:00
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 12:30
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.98%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.15%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.87%EV -5.31%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 14:58
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.92%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 22:35
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 12:21
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 22:15
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 15:03
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 13:09
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 15:00
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -11.34%E -5.82%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 12:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -16.80%E -9.18%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.86%E -6.20%K -9.50%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-05 12:29
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.30%EV -6.34%E -3.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.87%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 22:25
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 44.61%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 12:39
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 44.61%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 12:38
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.86%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-05 15:19
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 15:32
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 15:00
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 15:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 15:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 15:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 16:00
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 15:35
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 12:14
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -13.62%E -7.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-05 15:00
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -15.89%E -8.59%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-05 12:29
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:00
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:00
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 15:19
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.76%EV -11.80%E -6.08%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-05 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.64%EV -15.43%E -8.30%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.75%E -5.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.83%EV -13.01%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-05 14:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%4.9%2026-05-05 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%4.9%2026-05-05 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%4.9%2026-05-05 15:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 38.58%2.16I 46.30%NM 36.44%3.15I 31.75%NM 24.98%27.1%2026-05-05 15:43