مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Santa Clara v Nacional
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Santa Clara (المضيف)
التنبؤ 45.47%2.20السعر العادل
EV -3.61%
الأفضلية -1.70%
Kelly -3.23%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.78%45.63%45.49%48.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.832.012.022.1254.64%49.68%49.38%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Nacional (الضيف)
التنبؤ 26.01%3.84السعر العادل
EV +0.156%
الأفضلية +0.040%
Kelly +0.055%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.71%25.86%25.98%27.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.593.603.8531.25%27.86%27.78%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 28.52%3.51السعر العادل
EV -2.75%
الأفضلية -0.805%
Kelly -1.14%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.41
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.13%28.51%28.53%29.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.263.253.4134.72%30.67%30.77%29.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (40 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV +0.156%E +0.040%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:28 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 12:28 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -13.62%E -7.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.95%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.90%EV -3.60%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.43%EV -2.75%E -0.805%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.98%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.15%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.87%EV -5.31%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 14:58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.92%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Bovada | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 12:21 |
| BetUS | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 15:03 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 13:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -11.34%E -5.82%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -16.80%E -9.18%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.86%E -6.20%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.30%EV -6.34%E -3.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.87%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.61%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 12:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.61%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 12:38 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.86%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 15:32 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -13.62%E -7.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -15.89%E -8.59%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:00 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.76%EV -11.80%E -6.08%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.64%EV -15.43%E -8.30%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.75%E -5.24%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.83%EV -13.01%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-05 14:59 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 38.58% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 36.44% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 24.98% | 27.1% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |