La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Santa Clara v Nacional
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Santa Clara (Local)
Predicción 45.47%2.20momio equitativo
EV -3.61%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -3.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.78%45.63%45.49%48.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.012.022.1254.64%49.68%49.38%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nacional (Visitante)
Predicción 26.01%3.84momio equitativo
EV +0.156%
Ventaja +0.040%
Kelly +0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.71%25.86%25.98%27.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.593.603.8531.25%27.86%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.52%3.51momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -0.805%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.13%28.51%28.53%29.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.4134.72%30.67%30.77%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV +0.156%E +0.040%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:28 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 12:28 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -13.62%E -7.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.95%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.90%EV -3.60%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.43%EV -2.75%E -0.805%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.98%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.15%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.87%EV -5.31%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 14:58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.92%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Bovada | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 12:21 |
| BetUS | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 15:03 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 13:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -11.34%E -5.82%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -16.80%E -9.18%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.86%E -6.20%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.30%EV -6.34%E -3.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.87%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.61%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 12:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.61%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 12:38 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.86%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 15:32 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -13.62%E -7.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -15.89%E -8.59%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:00 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.76%EV -11.80%E -6.08%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.64%EV -15.43%E -8.30%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.75%E -5.24%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.83%EV -13.01%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-05 14:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 38.58% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 36.44% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 24.98% | 27.1% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |