L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Santa Clara v Nacional
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Santa Clara (Local)
Prévision 45.47%2.20cote équitable
EV -3.61%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -3.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.78%45.63%45.49%48.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.012.022.1254.64%49.68%49.38%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Nacional (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.01%3.84cote équitable
EV +0.156%
Avantage +0.040%
Kelly +0.055%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.71%25.86%25.98%27.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.593.603.8531.25%27.86%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.52%3.51cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -0.805%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.41
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.13%28.51%28.53%29.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.253.4134.72%30.67%30.77%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV +0.156%E +0.040%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:28 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 12:28 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -13.62%E -7.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.95%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.90%EV -3.60%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.43%EV -2.75%E -0.805%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.98%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.15%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.87%EV -5.31%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 14:58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.92%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Bovada | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 12:21 |
| BetUS | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 15:03 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 13:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -11.34%E -5.82%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -16.80%E -9.18%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.86%E -6.20%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.30%EV -6.34%E -3.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.87%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.61%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 12:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.61%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 12:38 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.86%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 15:32 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -13.62%E -7.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -15.89%E -8.59%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:00 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.76%EV -11.80%E -6.08%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.64%EV -15.43%E -8.30%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.75%E -5.24%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.83%EV -13.01%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-05 14:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 38.58% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 36.44% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 24.98% | 27.1% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |