La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Santa Clara v Nacional
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Santa Clara (Casa)
Previsione 45.47%2.20quota equa
EV -3.61%
Vantaggio -1.70%
Kelly -3.23%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.78%45.63%45.49%48.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.012.022.1254.64%49.68%49.38%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Nacional (Trasferta)
Previsione 26.01%3.84quota equa
EV +0.156%
Vantaggio +0.040%
Kelly +0.055%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.71%25.86%25.98%27.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.593.603.8531.25%27.86%27.78%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.52%3.51quota equa
EV -2.75%
Vantaggio -0.805%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.41
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.13%28.51%28.53%29.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.263.253.4134.72%30.67%30.77%29.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV +0.156%E +0.040%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:28 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 12:28 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -13.62%E -7.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.15%E -0.301%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.95%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.90%EV -3.60%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.43%EV -2.75%E -0.805%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.98%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.15%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.87%EV -5.31%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 14:58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.92%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Bovada | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 12:21 |
| BetUS | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 15:03 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 13:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -11.34%E -5.82%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -16.80%E -9.18%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.86%E -6.20%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.30%EV -6.34%E -3.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.87%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.61%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 12:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.61%EV -4.98%E -2.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 12:38 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.86%EV -10.43%E -5.30%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 15:32 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -13.62%E -7.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -15.89%E -8.59%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:00 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.76%EV -11.80%E -6.08%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.64%EV -15.43%E -8.30%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.75%E -5.24%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.83%EV -13.01%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-05 14:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 38.58% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 36.44% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 24.98% | 27.1% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |