赔率学院

Nacional v CF Estrela

开赛时间: 2026-04-04 14:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Nacional (主队)

预测 51.70%1.93公平赔率
EV -0.742%
优势 -0.386%
Kelly -0.806%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.92

博彩公司预测分布
48.82%51.53%51.78%53.18%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.711.831.831.9258.48%54.54%54.64%52.08%MIN均值中位数MAX

CF Estrela (客队)

预测 22.52%4.44公平赔率
EV +3.81%
优势 +0.826%
Kelly +1.05%
增长率 +0.040%

假设最高赔率为 4.61

博彩公司预测分布
21.03%22.64%22.47%24.62%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.654.024.004.6127.40%24.87%25.00%21.69%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 25.79%3.88公平赔率
EV -2.02%
优势 -0.531%
Kelly -0.720%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
24.87%25.82%25.75%27.64%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.573.553.8032.26%28.01%28.17%26.32%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.69%EV -4.88%E -2.65%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.03%EV +3.81%E +0.826%K +1.05%G +0.040%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV -4.85%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 14:24
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.51%EV -4.88%E -2.65%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.86%EV -0.471%E -0.107%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.63%EV -2.79%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 14:20
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.39%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.50%E -0.577%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 14:19
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.89%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%EV -3.17%E -0.738%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 14:09
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.89%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%EV -3.17%E -0.738%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 14:09
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.17%E -0.738%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 14:09
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.03%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.48%EV -3.40%E -0.792%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.49%EV -6.14%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 14:24
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.30%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 14:10
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:08
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:24
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:24
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:24
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:20
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:20
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.66%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.18%EV -11.60%E -6.78%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.91%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 14:10
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.09%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 13:44
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:09
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:40
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:18
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -10.56%E -6.11%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 14:09
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 14:10
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:09
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -6.43%E -3.55%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 14:14
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:19
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 14:09
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.05%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:09
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:09
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:09
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -0.742%E -0.386%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 14:10
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -0.742%E -0.386%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -7.98%E -4.48%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 14:10
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:10
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:09
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:10
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:09
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 14:10
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 14:15
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:14
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:09
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:09
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -15.56%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -15.56%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -10.56%E -6.11%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -15.56%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.07%E -6.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 13:55
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -3.84%E -2.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -16.68%E -4.51%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:10
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -16.68%E -4.51%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:09
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -17.81%E -4.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-04-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.0%2026-04-04 14:20
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 50.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%3.9%2026-04-04 14:25