Die Schule der Quoten

Nacional v CF Estrela

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-04 14:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Nacional (Heim)

Prognose 51.70%1.93faire Quote
EV -0.742%
Vorteil -0.386%
Kelly -0.806%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.92

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.82%51.53%51.78%53.18%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.711.831.831.9258.48%54.54%54.64%52.08%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

CF Estrela (Auswärts)

Prognose 22.52%4.44faire Quote
EV +3.81%
Vorteil +0.826%
Kelly +1.05%
Wachstum +0.040%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.03%22.64%22.47%24.62%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.654.024.004.6127.40%24.87%25.00%21.69%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.79%3.88faire Quote
EV -2.02%
Vorteil -0.531%
Kelly -0.720%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.87%25.82%25.75%27.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.573.553.8032.26%28.01%28.17%26.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.69%EV -4.88%E -2.65%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.03%EV +3.81%E +0.826%K +1.05%G +0.040%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV -4.85%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 14:24
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.51%EV -4.88%E -2.65%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.86%EV -0.471%E -0.107%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.63%EV -2.79%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 14:20
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.39%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.50%E -0.577%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 14:19
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.89%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%EV -3.17%E -0.738%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 14:09
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.89%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%EV -3.17%E -0.738%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 14:09
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.17%E -0.738%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 14:09
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.03%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.48%EV -3.40%E -0.792%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.49%EV -6.14%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 14:24
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.30%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 14:10
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:08
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:24
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:24
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:24
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:20
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:20
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.66%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.18%EV -11.60%E -6.78%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.91%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 14:10
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.09%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 13:44
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:09
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:40
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:18
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -10.56%E -6.11%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 14:09
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 14:10
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:09
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -6.43%E -3.55%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 14:14
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:19
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 14:09
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.05%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:09
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:09
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:09
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -0.742%E -0.386%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 14:10
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -0.742%E -0.386%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -7.98%E -4.48%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 14:10
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:10
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:09
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:10
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:09
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 14:10
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 14:15
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:14
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:09
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:09
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -15.56%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -15.56%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -10.56%E -6.11%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -15.56%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.07%E -6.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 13:55
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -3.84%E -2.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -16.68%E -4.51%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:10
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -16.68%E -4.51%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:09
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -17.81%E -4.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-04-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.0%2026-04-04 14:20
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 50.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%3.9%2026-04-04 14:25