Школа коэффициентов

Nacional v CF Estrela

Начало: 2026-04-04 14:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Nacional (Хозяева)

Прогноз 51.70%1.93справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.742%
Преимущество -0.386%
Kelly -0.806%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.92

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.82%51.53%51.78%53.18%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.711.831.831.9258.48%54.54%54.64%52.08%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

CF Estrela (Гости)

Прогноз 22.52%4.44справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.81%
Преимущество +0.826%
Kelly +1.05%
Рост +0.040%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.61

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.03%22.64%22.47%24.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.654.024.004.6127.40%24.87%25.00%21.69%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.79%3.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.02%
Преимущество -0.531%
Kelly -0.720%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.87%25.82%25.75%27.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.573.553.8032.26%28.01%28.17%26.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.69%EV -4.88%E -2.65%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.03%EV +3.81%E +0.826%K +1.05%G +0.040%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV -4.85%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 14:24
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.51%EV -4.88%E -2.65%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.86%EV -0.471%E -0.107%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.63%EV -2.79%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 14:20
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.39%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.50%E -0.577%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 14:19
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.89%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%EV -3.17%E -0.738%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 14:09
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.89%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%EV -3.17%E -0.738%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 14:09
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.17%E -0.738%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 14:09
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.03%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.48%EV -3.40%E -0.792%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.49%EV -6.14%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 14:24
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.30%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 14:10
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:08
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:24
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:24
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:24
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:20
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:20
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.66%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.18%EV -11.60%E -6.78%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.91%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 14:10
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.09%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 13:44
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:09
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:40
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:18
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -10.56%E -6.11%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 14:09
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 14:10
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:09
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -6.43%E -3.55%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 14:14
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:19
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 14:09
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.05%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:09
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:09
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:09
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -0.742%E -0.386%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 14:10
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -0.742%E -0.386%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -7.98%E -4.48%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 14:10
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:10
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:09
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:10
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -1.26%E -0.659%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:09
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 14:10
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 14:15
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:14
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:09
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:09
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -15.56%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -15.56%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -10.56%E -6.11%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -15.56%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.07%E -6.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 13:55
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -3.84%E -2.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -16.68%E -4.51%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:10
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -16.68%E -4.51%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:09
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -17.81%E -4.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:09
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-04-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.0%2026-04-04 14:20
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 50.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%3.9%2026-04-04 14:25