Oddsskolan

Nacional v Braga

Matchstart: 2026-02-28 18:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Nacional (Hemma)

Prognos 15.73%6.36rättvist odds
EV +2.22%
Fördel +0.342%
Kelly +0.404%
Tillväxt +0.009%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.35%15.70%15.70%17.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
5.406.016.006.5018.52%16.65%16.67%15.38%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Braga (Borta)

Prognos 62.21%1.61rättvist odds
EV -2.96%
Fördel -1.89%
Kelly -5.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
60.59%62.22%62.24%63.45%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.421.491.501.5670.42%66.90%66.67%64.10%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.07%4.53rättvist odds
EV -0.704%
Fördel -0.157%
Kelly -0.201%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.13%22.08%22.07%24.39%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.604.214.204.5027.78%23.73%23.81%22.22%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +2.22%E +0.342%K +0.404%G +0.009%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:29
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +2.22%E +0.342%K +0.404%G +0.009%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:30
Pinnacle6.40I 15.63%NM 15.04%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.89%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.07%EV -3.79%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 17:44
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:39
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:39
Bally Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:40
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:40
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:40
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:39
LowVig.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:24
BetOnline.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:24
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 17:23
Unibet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:39
Unibet (NL)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:39
TABtouch6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:40
Unibet (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:39
BetRivers6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:39
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.24%EV -9.18%E -6.29%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -9.80%E -6.76%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 17:40
1xBet6.19I 16.16%NM 15.68%EV -2.65%E -0.429%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.61%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.71%EV -1.37%E -0.306%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 17:50
Betclic (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.71%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:43
Virgin Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -10.42%E -7.24%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 17:39
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 14.74%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.33%EV -11.66%E -8.21%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 17:39
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.07%E -4.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:54
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:30
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:34
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:40
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:29
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:40
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:30
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:45
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:24
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:35
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -9.18%E -6.29%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.42%E -7.24%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -20.56%E -5.71%K -7.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 17:30
Marathon Bet5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -6.43%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:30
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -7.22%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:55
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -7.22%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:55
Parions Sport (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.79%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.04%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 17:39
William Hill5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.79%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 17:50
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -0.704%E -0.157%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 17:39
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 17:55
888sport5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:50
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:49
Mr Green (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:50
GTbets5.74I 17.42%NM 16.47%EV -9.73%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.59%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.94%EV -9.09%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:39
Winamax (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -10.36%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:39
Winamax (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:45
NetBet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 17:53
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:39
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 17:39
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:19
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:54
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.08%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:39
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.08%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-02-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-02-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-02-28 17:55
Matchbook7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-02-28 17:54
Smarkets7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.69%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%1.9%2026-02-28 17:39