L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Nacional v Braga
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nacional (Local)
Prévision 15.73%6.36cote équitable
EV +2.22%
Avantage +0.342%
Kelly +0.404%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.35%15.70%15.70%17.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.016.006.5018.52%16.65%16.67%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Braga (Visiteur)
Prévision 62.21%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -5.28%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.59%62.22%62.24%63.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.501.5670.42%66.90%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.07%4.53cote équitable
EV -0.704%
Avantage -0.157%
Kelly -0.201%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.13%22.08%22.07%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.214.204.5027.78%23.73%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +2.22%E +0.342%K +0.404%G +0.009% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +2.22%E +0.342%K +0.404%G +0.009% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.04%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.89%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.07%EV -3.79%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| Casumo | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Grosvenor | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Bally Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| betPARX | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Coolbet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:23 |
| Unibet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| BetRivers | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.24%EV -9.18%E -6.29%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -9.80%E -6.76%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.68%EV -2.65%E -0.429%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.61%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.71%EV -1.37%E -0.306%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.71%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:43 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -10.42%E -7.24%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LeoVegas | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.74%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.33%EV -11.66%E -8.21%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| DraftKings | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.07%E -4.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Bovada | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| Bet Right | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| SportsBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -9.18%E -6.29%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.42%E -7.24%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -20.56%E -5.71%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -6.43%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| NordicBet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -7.22%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| Betsson | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -7.22%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.79%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.04%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| William Hill | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.79%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -0.704%E -0.157%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Betway | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| 888sport | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| GTbets | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.47%EV -9.73%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.59%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.94%EV -9.09%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -10.36%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 17:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.08%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Neds | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.08%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Smarkets | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.69% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |