Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nacional (Local): 15.73%; Braga (Visitante): 62.21%; Empate: 22.07%. Para Nacional (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.36. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.22%.
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +2.22%E +0.342%K +0.404%G +0.009% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +2.22%E +0.342%K +0.404%G +0.009% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.04%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.89%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.07%EV -3.79%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:23 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.24%EV -9.18%E -6.29%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -9.80%E -6.76%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.68%EV -2.65%E -0.429%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.61%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.71%EV -1.37%E -0.306%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.71%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:43 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -10.42%E -7.24%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.74%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.33%EV -11.66%E -8.21%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.07%E -4.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -9.18%E -6.29%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.42%E -7.24%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -20.56%E -5.71%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -6.43%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -7.22%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -7.22%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.79%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.04%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.79%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -0.704%E -0.157%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.47%EV -9.73%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.59%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.94%EV -9.09%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -10.36%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 17:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.08%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.08%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.69% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |