مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nacional v Braga

البداية: 2026-02-28 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nacional (المضيف)

التنبؤ 15.73%6.36السعر العادل
EV +2.22%
الأفضلية +0.342%
Kelly +0.404%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.35%15.70%15.70%17.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.406.016.006.5018.52%16.65%16.67%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Braga (الضيف)

التنبؤ 62.21%1.61السعر العادل
EV -2.96%
الأفضلية -1.89%
Kelly -5.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.59%62.22%62.24%63.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.421.491.501.5670.42%66.90%66.67%64.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.07%4.53السعر العادل
EV -0.704%
الأفضلية -0.157%
Kelly -0.201%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.13%22.08%22.07%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.214.204.5027.78%23.73%23.81%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +2.22%E +0.342%K +0.404%G +0.009%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:29
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +2.22%E +0.342%K +0.404%G +0.009%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:30
Pinnacle6.40I 15.63%NM 15.04%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.89%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.07%EV -3.79%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 17:44
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:39
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:39
Bally Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:40
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:40
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:40
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:39
LowVig.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:24
BetOnline.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:24
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 17:23
Unibet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:39
Unibet (NL)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:39
TABtouch6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:40
Unibet (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:39
BetRivers6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:39
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.24%EV -9.18%E -6.29%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -9.80%E -6.76%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 17:40
1xBet6.19I 16.16%NM 15.68%EV -2.65%E -0.429%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.61%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.71%EV -1.37%E -0.306%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 17:50
Betclic (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.71%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:43
Virgin Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -10.42%E -7.24%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 17:39
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 14.74%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.33%EV -11.66%E -8.21%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 17:39
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.07%E -4.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:54
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:30
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:34
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:40
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:29
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:40
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:30
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:45
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:24
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:35
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -9.18%E -6.29%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.42%E -7.24%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -20.56%E -5.71%K -7.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 17:30
Marathon Bet5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -6.43%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:30
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -7.22%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:55
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -7.22%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:55
Parions Sport (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.79%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.04%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 17:39
William Hill5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.79%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 17:50
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -0.704%E -0.157%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 17:39
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 17:55
888sport5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:50
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:49
Mr Green (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:50
GTbets5.74I 17.42%NM 16.47%EV -9.73%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.59%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.94%EV -9.09%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:39
Winamax (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -10.36%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:39
Winamax (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:45
NetBet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 17:53
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:39
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 17:39
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:19
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:54
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.08%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:39
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.08%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-02-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-02-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-02-28 17:55
Matchbook7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-02-28 17:54
Smarkets7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.69%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%1.9%2026-02-28 17:39