La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nacional v Braga
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nacional (Local)
Predicción 15.73%6.36momio equitativo
EV +2.22%
Ventaja +0.342%
Kelly +0.404%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.35%15.70%15.70%17.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.016.006.5018.52%16.65%16.67%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Braga (Visitante)
Predicción 62.21%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -5.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.59%62.22%62.24%63.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.501.5670.42%66.90%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.07%4.53momio equitativo
EV -0.704%
Ventaja -0.157%
Kelly -0.201%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.13%22.08%22.07%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.214.204.5027.78%23.73%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +2.22%E +0.342%K +0.404%G +0.009% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +2.22%E +0.342%K +0.404%G +0.009% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.04%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.89%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.07%EV -3.79%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| Casumo | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Grosvenor | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Bally Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| betPARX | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV +0.648%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Coolbet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:23 |
| Unibet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| BetRivers | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.24%EV -9.18%E -6.29%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -1.71%E -0.274%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -9.80%E -6.76%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.68%EV -2.65%E -0.429%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.61%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.71%EV -1.37%E -0.306%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.71%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:43 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -10.42%E -7.24%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LeoVegas | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.74%EV -4.07%E -0.667%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.33%EV -11.66%E -8.21%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| DraftKings | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.07%E -4.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Bovada | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| Bet Right | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| SportsBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -9.18%E -6.29%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -5.64%E -0.940%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.42%E -7.24%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -20.56%E -5.71%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -6.43%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| NordicBet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -7.22%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| Betsson | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -7.22%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.79%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.04%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| William Hill | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.79%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -0.704%E -0.157%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Betway | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| 888sport | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.57%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| GTbets | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.47%EV -9.73%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.59%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.94%EV -9.09%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -10.36%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.93%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.53%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 17:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.51%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.74%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.08%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Neds | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.08%E -2.79%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.91%E -0.662%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Smarkets | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.69% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |