Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

FC Porto v Tondela

Начало: 2026-04-19 19:34 UTC

Итог: FC Porto 2–0 Tondela

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

FC Porto (Хозяева)

Прогноз 81.98%1.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.08%
Преимущество -3.49%
Kelly -24.00%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.17

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
79.91%81.94%82.01%85.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.101.141.151.1790.91%87.39%86.96%85.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Tondela (Гости)

Прогноз 4.86%20.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +16.69%
Преимущество +0.695%
Kelly +0.725%
Рост +0.121%

при максимальном коэффициенте 24.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
4.05%4.98%4.71%6.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
14.0018.1317.0024.007.14%5.52%5.88%4.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 13.15%7.60справедливый коэффициент
EV +18.39%
Преимущество +2.04%
Kelly +2.30%
Рост +0.423%

при максимальном коэффициенте 9.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
10.49%13.08%13.27%14.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.407.087.009.0015.63%14.12%14.29%11.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: FC Porto (Хозяева): 81.98%; Tondela (Гости): 4.86%; Ничья: 13.15%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.60. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 9.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +18.39%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +18.39%E +2.04%K +2.30%G +0.423%6.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -7.62%E -0.401%K -0.424%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +11.82%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.186%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.92%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +5.24%E +0.655%K +0.748%G +0.039%7.4%2026-04-19 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.92%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +5.24%E +0.655%K +0.748%G +0.039%7.4%2026-04-19 19:30
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.04%EV -9.82%E -8.93%K -98.18%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +5.24%E +0.655%K +0.748%G +0.039%8.2%2026-04-19 19:30
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.79%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.05%EV +16.69%E +0.695%K +0.725%G +0.121%7.99I 12.52%NM 12.16%EV +5.11%E +0.639%K +0.731%G +0.037%2.9%2026-04-19 19:29
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.64%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 19:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -27.07%E -1.80%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.33%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.09%EV -24.64%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:30
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -7.62%E -0.401%K -0.424%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 19:31
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.02%EV -7.36%E -6.51%K -56.61%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:31
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.03%EV -24.64%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -2.65%E -0.359%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.03%EV -24.64%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -2.65%E -0.359%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.01%EV -8.18%E -7.30%K -68.16%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.56%EV -2.65%E -0.359%K -0.415%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 19:29
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.86%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%23.32I 4.29%NM 4.12%EV +13.38%E +0.574%K +0.599%G +0.080%7.38I 13.55%NM 13.02%EV -2.92%E -0.395%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.23%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -7.62%E -0.401%K -0.424%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.84%EV -3.97%E -0.544%K -0.630%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:29
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%21.80I 4.59%NM 4.42%EV +5.99%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017%7.28I 13.74%NM 13.23%EV -4.23%E -0.581%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.36%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.69%EV -2.76%E -0.138%K -0.145%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.638%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:28
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.36%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.69%EV -2.76%E -0.138%K -0.145%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.638%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -31.93%E -2.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -4.63%E -0.638%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -31.93%E -2.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -4.63%E -0.638%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.57%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.57%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 19:30
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:31
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:30
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:30
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:31
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -8.18%E -7.30%K -68.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.13%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.04%EV -10.06%E -0.544%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 19:25
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.50%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.50%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:30
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.50%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.50%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.64%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.75%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.64%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.75%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -27.07%E -1.80%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:29
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.19%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.35%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:29
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.08%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.76%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 19:29
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.91%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -27.07%E -1.80%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.36%EV -7.36%E -6.51%K -56.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.68%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 19:31
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.36%EV -7.36%E -6.51%K -56.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.68%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.55%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.53%EV -2.76%E -0.138%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -7.36%E -6.51%K -56.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV -27.07%E -1.80%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.50%EV -8.18%E -7.30%K -68.16%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.63%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +6.96%E +0.316%K +0.332%G +0.023%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -15.81%E -2.47%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:31
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +6.96%E +0.316%K +0.332%G +0.023%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -15.81%E -2.47%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:31
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.85%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.56%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.59%0.4%2026-04-19 19:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.54%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.79%0.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.54%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.79%0.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%0.9%2026-04-19 19:31
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.45%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.92%1.8%2026-04-19 19:31
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%2.0%2026-04-19 19:30