مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Porto v Tondela

البداية: 2026-04-19 19:34 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: FC Porto 2–0 Tondela

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Porto (المضيف)

التنبؤ 81.98%1.22السعر العادل
EV -4.08%
الأفضلية -3.49%
Kelly -24.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
79.91%81.94%82.01%85.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.141.151.1790.91%87.39%86.96%85.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tondela (الضيف)

التنبؤ 4.86%20.57السعر العادل
EV +16.69%
الأفضلية +0.695%
Kelly +0.725%
النمو +0.121%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 24.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
4.05%4.98%4.71%6.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
14.0018.1317.0024.007.14%5.52%5.88%4.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 13.15%7.60السعر العادل
EV +18.39%
الأفضلية +2.04%
Kelly +2.30%
النمو +0.423%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.49%13.08%13.27%14.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.407.087.009.0015.63%14.12%14.29%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +18.39%E +2.04%K +2.30%G +0.423%6.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -7.62%E -0.401%K -0.424%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +11.82%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.186%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.92%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +5.24%E +0.655%K +0.748%G +0.039%7.4%2026-04-19 19:30
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 83.92%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +5.24%E +0.655%K +0.748%G +0.039%7.4%2026-04-19 19:30
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 84.04%EV -9.82%E -8.93%K -98.18%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +5.24%E +0.655%K +0.748%G +0.039%8.2%2026-04-19 19:30
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.79%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.05%EV +16.69%E +0.695%K +0.725%G +0.121%7.99I 12.52%NM 12.16%EV +5.11%E +0.639%K +0.731%G +0.037%2.9%2026-04-19 19:29
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 81.64%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 19:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -27.07%E -1.80%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 19:30
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 81.33%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.09%EV -24.64%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:30
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -7.62%E -0.401%K -0.424%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 19:31
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 83.02%EV -7.36%E -6.51%K -56.61%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:31
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.03%EV -24.64%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -2.65%E -0.359%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.03%EV -24.64%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -2.65%E -0.359%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.01%EV -8.18%E -7.30%K -68.16%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.56%EV -2.65%E -0.359%K -0.415%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 19:29
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 82.86%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%23.32I 4.29%NM 4.12%EV +13.38%E +0.574%K +0.599%G +0.080%7.38I 13.55%NM 13.02%EV -2.92%E -0.395%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.23%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -7.62%E -0.401%K -0.424%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.84%EV -3.97%E -0.544%K -0.630%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:29
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%21.80I 4.59%NM 4.42%EV +5.99%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017%7.28I 13.74%NM 13.23%EV -4.23%E -0.581%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 82.36%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.69%EV -2.76%E -0.138%K -0.145%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.638%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:28
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.36%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.69%EV -2.76%E -0.138%K -0.145%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.638%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -31.93%E -2.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -4.63%E -0.638%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -31.93%E -2.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -4.63%E -0.638%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:29
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.57%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.57%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 19:30
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:29
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:30
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:31
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:30
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:30
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:31
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -8.18%E -7.30%K -68.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.13%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.04%EV -10.06%E -0.544%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 19:25
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.50%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.50%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:30
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 80.50%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.50%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.64%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.75%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.64%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.75%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -27.07%E -1.80%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:29
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 81.19%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.35%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:29
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 80.08%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.76%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 19:29
betfred_uk1.14I 87.72%NM 79.91%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -27.07%E -1.80%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.36%EV -7.36%E -6.51%K -56.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.68%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 19:31
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.36%EV -7.36%E -6.51%K -56.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.68%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.55%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.53%EV -2.76%E -0.138%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -7.36%E -6.51%K -56.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV -27.07%E -1.80%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 19:30
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 80.50%EV -8.18%E -7.30%K -68.16%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.63%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +6.96%E +0.316%K +0.332%G +0.023%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -15.81%E -2.47%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:31
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +6.96%E +0.316%K +0.332%G +0.023%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -15.81%E -2.47%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:31
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.85%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.56%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.59%0.4%2026-04-19 19:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.54%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.79%0.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.54%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.79%0.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%0.9%2026-04-19 19:31
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.45%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.92%1.8%2026-04-19 19:31
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%2.0%2026-04-19 19:30