La scuola delle quote

FC Porto v Tondela

Inizio: 2026-04-19 19:34 UTC

Finale: FC Porto 2–0 Tondela

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Porto (Casa)

Previsione 81.98%1.22quota equa
EV -4.08%
Vantaggio -3.49%
Kelly -24.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
79.91%81.94%82.01%85.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.141.151.1790.91%87.39%86.96%85.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tondela (Trasferta)

Previsione 4.86%20.57quota equa
EV +16.69%
Vantaggio +0.695%
Kelly +0.725%
Crescita +0.121%

ipotizzando la quota massima 24.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.05%4.98%4.71%6.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
14.0018.1317.0024.007.14%5.52%5.88%4.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 13.15%7.60quota equa
EV +18.39%
Vantaggio +2.04%
Kelly +2.30%
Crescita +0.423%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.49%13.08%13.27%14.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.407.087.009.0015.63%14.12%14.29%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +18.39%E +2.04%K +2.30%G +0.423%6.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -7.62%E -0.401%K -0.424%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +11.82%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.186%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.92%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +5.24%E +0.655%K +0.748%G +0.039%7.4%2026-04-19 19:30
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 83.92%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +5.24%E +0.655%K +0.748%G +0.039%7.4%2026-04-19 19:30
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 84.04%EV -9.82%E -8.93%K -98.18%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +5.24%E +0.655%K +0.748%G +0.039%8.2%2026-04-19 19:30
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.79%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.05%EV +16.69%E +0.695%K +0.725%G +0.121%7.99I 12.52%NM 12.16%EV +5.11%E +0.639%K +0.731%G +0.037%2.9%2026-04-19 19:29
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 81.64%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 19:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -27.07%E -1.80%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 19:30
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 81.33%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.09%EV -24.64%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:30
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -7.62%E -0.401%K -0.424%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 19:31
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 83.02%EV -7.36%E -6.51%K -56.61%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -1.34%E -0.179%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:31
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.03%EV -24.64%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -2.65%E -0.359%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.03%EV -24.64%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -2.65%E -0.359%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.01%EV -8.18%E -7.30%K -68.16%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.56%EV -2.65%E -0.359%K -0.415%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 19:29
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 82.86%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%23.32I 4.29%NM 4.12%EV +13.38%E +0.574%K +0.599%G +0.080%7.38I 13.55%NM 13.02%EV -2.92%E -0.395%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.23%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -7.62%E -0.401%K -0.424%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.84%EV -3.97%E -0.544%K -0.630%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:29
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%21.80I 4.59%NM 4.42%EV +5.99%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017%7.28I 13.74%NM 13.23%EV -4.23%E -0.581%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 82.36%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.69%EV -2.76%E -0.138%K -0.145%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.638%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:28
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.36%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.69%EV -2.76%E -0.138%K -0.145%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.638%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -31.93%E -2.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -4.63%E -0.638%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -31.93%E -2.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -4.63%E -0.638%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:29
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.57%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.57%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 19:30
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:29
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:29
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:30
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:31
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:30
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -4.90%E -4.22%K -30.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:30
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:31
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -8.18%E -7.30%K -68.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.92%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.13%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.04%EV -10.06%E -0.544%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 19:25
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.50%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.50%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:30
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 80.50%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.50%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.64%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.75%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.64%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.75%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -27.07%E -1.80%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -11.21%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -4.08%E -3.49%K -24.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:29
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 81.19%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +2.10%E +0.100%K +0.105%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.35%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -17.35%E -1.02%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:29
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 80.08%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.76%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 19:29
betfred_uk1.14I 87.72%NM 79.91%EV -6.54%E -5.74%K -46.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -27.07%E -1.80%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.36%EV -7.36%E -6.51%K -56.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.68%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 19:31
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.36%EV -7.36%E -6.51%K -56.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.68%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.55%EV -9.00%E -8.11%K -81.80%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.53%EV -2.76%E -0.138%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -7.36%E -6.51%K -56.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV -27.07%E -1.80%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 19:30
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 80.50%EV -8.18%E -7.30%K -68.16%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.63%EV -22.21%E -1.39%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -14.49%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +6.96%E +0.316%K +0.332%G +0.023%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -15.81%E -2.47%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:31
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -5.72%E -4.97%K -38.13%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +6.96%E +0.316%K +0.332%G +0.023%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -15.81%E -2.47%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:31
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.85%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.56%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.59%0.4%2026-04-19 19:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.54%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.79%0.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.54%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.68%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.79%0.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%0.9%2026-04-19 19:31
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.45%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.92%1.8%2026-04-19 19:31
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%2.0%2026-04-19 19:30