Language:English
Famalicão v CS Maritimo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Famalicão (Local)
Prediction 54.12%1.85fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.12%53.98%54.19%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8160.61%57.76%57.80%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CS Maritimo (Visit)
Prediction 19.01%5.26fair odd
EV +2.65%
Edge +0.491%
Kelly +0.602%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%19.09%18.94%21.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.724.805.4023.53%21.18%20.83%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.87%3.72fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.89%26.93%26.87%27.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.443.403.6030.30%29.09%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Famalicão (Local): 54.12%; CS Maritimo (Visit): 19.01%; Draw: 26.87%. For CS Maritimo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.26. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -8.53%E -5.05%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV +2.65%E +0.491%K +0.602%G +0.016% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.63%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV +0.748%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV +0.748%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.47%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.37%EV -0.202%E -0.039%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.16%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.64%EV -4.00%E -0.793%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.61%E -5.76%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.24%EV -2.03%E -1.12%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.39%EV -5.53%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.43%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -7.81%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 19:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.69%E -6.48%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -12.56%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:52 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.80%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -9.07%E -5.40%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -17.69%E -4.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.80% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.50% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |