Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Famalicão v CS Maritimo

2026-08-16 19:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Famalicão (Local)

Prediction 50.61%1.98fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.37%50.82%50.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.831.831.9158.82%54.78%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CS Maritimo (Visit)

Prediction 22.96%4.36fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.387%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.66%22.79%23.02%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.024.004.3026.67%24.90%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.43%3.78fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.600%
Kelly -0.823%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.31%26.39%26.42%27.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.443.453.7030.30%29.09%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Famalicão (Local): 50.61%; CS Maritimo (Visit): 22.96%; Draw: 26.43%. For CS Maritimo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -1.28%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.12%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.68%EV -3.11%E -0.738%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.98%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -7.51%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 12:50
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.51%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 12:53
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 11:00
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 10:59
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 10:58
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.94%EV -5.86%E -3.15%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.51%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 12:54
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.51%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.51%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.51%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 12:50
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.51%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 12:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 12:50
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.84%EV -6.87%E -3.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.19%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.84%EV -6.87%E -3.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.19%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.72%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.98%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.51%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-13 12:49
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -2.43%E -0.571%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-13 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -2.43%E -0.571%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-13 13:49
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.89%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.47%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-13 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.89%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.47%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-13 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.89%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.47%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-13 10:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-13 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-13 10:59
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-13 10:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.17%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-13 12:49
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.76%E -3.36%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-13 11:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.68%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -11.61%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-13 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.68%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -11.61%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-13 10:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.68%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -11.61%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-13 10:59
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -13.91%E -3.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-13 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -10.41%E -5.88%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -1.28%E -0.297%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -2.22%E -0.600%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.46%EV -11.93%E -6.86%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.51%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-13 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -3.57%E -0.851%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -6.71%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-13 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -12.94%E -7.52%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -12.76%E -3.36%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-13 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.62%EV -13.96%E -8.21%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.51%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-13 12:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 50.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%13.4%2026-08-13 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.80%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.76%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.44%187.6%2026-08-13 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.80%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.76%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.44%187.6%2026-08-13 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 33.11%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.11%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.77%193.2%2026-08-13 09:55

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