语言:简体中文
Famalicão v CS Maritimo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Famalicão (主队)
预测 54.12%1.85公平赔率
EV -2.03%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -2.51%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.81
博彩公司预测分布
52.12%53.98%54.19%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.731.731.8160.61%57.76%57.80%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
CS Maritimo (客队)
预测 19.01%5.26公平赔率
EV +2.65%
优势 +0.491%
Kelly +0.602%
增长率 +0.016%
假设最高赔率为 5.40
博彩公司预测分布
17.29%19.09%18.94%21.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.254.724.805.4023.53%21.18%20.83%18.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.87%3.72公平赔率
EV -3.28%
优势 -0.912%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.89%26.93%26.87%27.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.443.403.6030.30%29.09%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Famalicão (主队)：54.12%；CS Maritimo (客队)：19.01%；平局：26.87%。 对于“CS Maritimo (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.26。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.40，对应+2.65%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -8.53%E -5.05%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV +2.65%E +0.491%K +0.602%G +0.016% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.63%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV +0.748%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV +0.748%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.47%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.37%EV -0.202%E -0.039%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.16%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.64%EV -4.00%E -0.793%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.61%E -5.76%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.24%EV -2.03%E -1.12%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.39%EV -5.53%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.43%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -7.81%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 19:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.69%E -6.48%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -12.56%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:52 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.80%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -9.07%E -5.40%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -17.69%E -4.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.80% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.50% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |