StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Famalicão v CS Maritimo

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 19:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Famalicão 1–2 CS Maritimo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Famalicão (Hemma)

Prognos 54.12%1.85rättvist odds
EV -2.03%
Fördel -1.12%
Kelly -2.51%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.81

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.12%53.98%54.19%55.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.651.731.731.8160.61%57.76%57.80%55.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

CS Maritimo (Borta)

Prognos 19.01%5.26rättvist odds
EV +2.65%
Fördel +0.491%
Kelly +0.602%
Tillväxt +0.016%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.29%19.09%18.94%21.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.254.724.805.4023.53%21.18%20.83%18.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.87%3.72rättvist odds
EV -3.28%
Fördel -0.912%
Kelly -1.26%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.89%26.93%26.87%27.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.443.403.6030.30%29.09%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Famalicão (Hemma): 54.12%; CS Maritimo (Borta): 19.01%; Oavgjort: 26.87%. För CS Maritimo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.26. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.65%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -8.53%E -5.05%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV +2.65%E +0.491%K +0.602%G +0.016%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.63%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV +0.748%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV +0.748%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.47%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.37%EV -0.202%E -0.039%K -0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.16%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 19:10
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.64%EV -4.00%E -0.793%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:25
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.61%E -5.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 19:20
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.24%EV -2.03%E -1.12%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.39%EV -5.53%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.43%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 19:05
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:25
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 17:29
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -7.81%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 17:29
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 19:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.69%E -6.48%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 19:24
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 14:39
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 19:04
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 19:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -12.56%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 09:49
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 18:54
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 18:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 18:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 18:54
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 18:52
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 09:49
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.80%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -9.07%E -5.40%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -17.69%E -4.09%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 09:49
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 18:54
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 18:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.80%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-08-16 19:20