Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Famalicão v CS Maritimo

2026-08-16 19:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Famalicão (Local)

Prévision 50.58%1.98cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -3.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.37%50.80%50.48%52.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.831.831.9158.82%54.78%54.64%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

CS Maritimo (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.01%4.35cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.245%
Kelly -0.319%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.66%22.82%23.07%23.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.014.004.3026.67%24.92%25.00%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.41%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.618%
Kelly -0.847%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.31%26.38%26.45%27.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.443.453.7030.30%29.09%28.99%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Famalicão (Local) : 50.58% ; CS Maritimo (Visiteur) : 23.01% ; Match nul : 26.41%. Pour CS Maritimo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.35. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.30, pour une espérance de -1.05% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.12%EV -3.39%E -1.78%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.68%EV -2.89%E -0.686%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.04%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.91%E -2.61%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.65%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 12:50
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.65%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 12:53
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.65%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.65%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 11:00
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.65%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.65%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.65%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 10:59
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.65%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 10:58
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.94%EV -5.92%E -3.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.11%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 12:54
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.43%E -3.47%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.43%E -3.47%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.43%E -3.47%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 12:50
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.43%E -3.47%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 12:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.43%E -3.47%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.43%E -3.47%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.43%E -3.47%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 12:50
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.43%E -3.47%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.55%EV -6.93%E -3.77%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.55%EV -6.93%E -3.77%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.44%E -4.06%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.50%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.04%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.44%E -4.06%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.44%E -4.06%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-13 12:49
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.94%E -4.36%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -2.20%E -0.518%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-13 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.94%E -4.36%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -2.20%E -0.518%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-13 13:49
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -7.94%E -4.36%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.65%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.89%EV -8.45%E -4.67%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.53%E -3.44%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-13 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.89%EV -8.45%E -4.67%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.53%E -3.44%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-13 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.89%EV -8.45%E -4.67%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.53%E -3.44%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-13 10:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -8.45%E -4.67%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-13 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -8.45%E -4.67%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-13 10:59
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -8.45%E -4.67%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-13 10:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.96%E -4.98%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-13 14:59
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.96%E -4.98%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.56%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-13 11:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.68%EV -8.96%E -4.98%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -11.41%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-13 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.68%EV -8.96%E -4.98%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -11.41%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-13 10:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.68%EV -8.96%E -4.98%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -11.41%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-13 10:59
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.96%E -4.98%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -13.71%E -3.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-13 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -10.47%E -5.92%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -1.05%E -0.245%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -2.29%E -0.618%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.46%EV -11.99%E -6.89%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-13 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -12.50%E -7.22%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -3.35%E -0.798%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -6.78%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-13 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -13.00%E -7.56%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -12.56%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-13 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.62%EV -14.01%E -8.24%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -5.65%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-13 12:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 50.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%13.4%2026-08-13 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.80%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.76%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.44%187.6%2026-08-13 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.80%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.76%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.44%187.6%2026-08-13 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 33.11%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.11%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.77%193.2%2026-08-13 09:55

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