Langue:Français
Famalicão v CS Maritimo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Famalicão (Local)
Prévision 54.12%1.85cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -2.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.81
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.12%53.98%54.19%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.731.731.8160.61%57.76%57.80%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
CS Maritimo (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.01%5.26cote équitable
EV +2.65%
Avantage +0.491%
Kelly +0.602%
Croissance +0.016%
avec la cote maximale 5.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.29%19.09%18.94%21.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.254.724.805.4023.53%21.18%20.83%18.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.87%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -0.912%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.89%26.93%26.87%27.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.443.403.6030.30%29.09%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Famalicão (Local) : 54.12% ; CS Maritimo (Visiteur) : 19.01% ; Match nul : 26.87%. Pour CS Maritimo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.26. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.40, soit une espérance positive de +2.65%.
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -8.53%E -5.05%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV +2.65%E +0.491%K +0.602%G +0.016% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.63%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV +0.748%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV +0.748%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.47%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.37%EV -0.202%E -0.039%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.16%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.64%EV -4.00%E -0.793%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.61%E -5.76%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.24%EV -2.03%E -1.12%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.39%EV -5.53%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.43%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -7.81%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 19:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.69%E -6.48%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -12.56%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:52 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.80%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -9.07%E -5.40%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -17.69%E -4.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.80% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.50% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |