Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Famalicão v CS Maritimo

Início: 2026-08-16 19:30 UTC

Final: Famalicão 1–2 CS Maritimo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Famalicão (Local)

Previsão 54.12%1.85odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -2.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.12%53.98%54.19%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.731.731.8160.61%57.76%57.80%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

CS Maritimo (Visitante)

Previsão 19.01%5.26odd justa
EV +2.65%
Vantagem +0.491%
Kelly +0.602%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.29%19.09%18.94%21.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.254.724.805.4023.53%21.18%20.83%18.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.87%3.72odd justa
EV -3.28%
Vantagem -0.912%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.89%26.93%26.87%27.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.443.403.6030.30%29.09%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Famalicão (Local): 54.12%; CS Maritimo (Visitante): 19.01%; Empate: 26.87%. Para CS Maritimo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.26. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.65%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -8.53%E -5.05%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV +2.65%E +0.491%K +0.602%G +0.016%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.63%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV +0.748%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV +0.748%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.47%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.37%EV -0.202%E -0.039%K -0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.16%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 19:10
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.64%EV -4.00%E -0.793%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:25
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.61%E -5.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.95%E -0.991%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 19:20
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.24%EV -2.03%E -1.12%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.39%EV -5.53%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.43%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 19:05
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 19:25
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 17:29
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.86%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -7.81%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 17:29
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 19:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.69%E -6.48%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -8.76%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 19:24
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 14:39
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 19:04
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.71%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 19:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -12.56%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 09:49
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 18:54
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 18:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 18:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 18:54
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -3.66%E -2.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 18:52
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 09:49
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.80%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -9.07%E -5.40%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.46%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -17.69%E -4.09%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 09:49
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 18:54
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 18:54
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -18.26%E -4.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -6.91%E -4.01%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.21%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 18:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.80%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-08-16 19:20