Oddsskolan

Estoril v Benfica

Matchstart: 2026-05-17 16:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Estoril (Hemma)

Prognos 11.59%8.63rättvist odds
EV +7.48%
Fördel +0.807%
Kelly +0.904%
Tillväxt +0.068%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.13%11.55%11.70%13.04%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
6.507.897.909.2715.38%12.68%12.66%10.79%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Benfica (Borta)

Prognos 71.72%1.39rättvist odds
EV -4.61%
Fördel -3.47%
Kelly -13.97%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
68.66%71.64%71.67%73.53%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.231.291.301.3381.30%77.42%76.92%75.19%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 16.68%5.99rättvist odds
EV +3.61%
Fördel +0.581%
Kelly +0.693%
Tillväxt +0.025%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.62%16.81%16.63%19.07%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.505.425.506.2122.22%18.46%18.18%16.10%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets9.27I 10.79%NM 10.13%EV +7.48%E +0.807%K +0.904%G +0.068%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.68%EV -11.41%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 09:54
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +4.35%E +0.483%K +0.543%G +0.024%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -3.23%E -0.557%K -0.673%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 23:49
1xBet8.90I 11.24%NM 10.90%EV +3.19%E +0.358%K +0.403%G +0.013%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.48%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.62%EV +3.61%E +0.581%K +0.693%G +0.025%3.1%2026-05-11 23:34
Betclic (FR)8.75I 11.43%NM 10.61%EV +1.45%E +0.165%K +0.187%G +0.003%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.52%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 23:48
Coolbet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -1.45%E -0.171%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 22:00
Unibet (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -1.45%E -0.171%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -12.41%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 23:47
NetBet (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -1.45%E -0.171%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -11.07%E -8.92%K -46.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-12 09:53
Pinnacle8.36I 11.96%NM 11.25%EV -3.07%E -0.368%K -0.418%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.36%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.39%EV -4.23%E -0.737%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 07:52
Betr (AU)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -4.35%E -0.527%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 08:04
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.05%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.106%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 20:49
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.47%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -1.56%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 08:03
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 22:10
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 00:05
betfred_uk8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 08:04
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 22:05
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 22:04
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 07:43
Betsson7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.90%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 07:44
NordicBet7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.90%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 07:43
Marathon Bet7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.22%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 09:54
Unibet (FR)7.90I 12.66%NM 11.17%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.18%EV -11.07%E -8.92%K -46.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-11 23:49
BetMGM7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -10.15%E -1.31%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 20:55
LowVig.ag7.60I 13.16%NM 12.02%EV -11.89%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.37%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 07:44
BetOnline.ag7.60I 13.16%NM 12.02%EV -11.89%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.37%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 07:44
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 20:49
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 08:49
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 08:24
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 08:24
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 08:24
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 08:24
Winamax (DE)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.27%EV -15.94%E -2.20%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 70.62%EV -9.63%E -7.64%K -37.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -13.24%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-11 23:49
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -18.84%E -2.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-11 22:09
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -18.84%E -2.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.35%E -8.28%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-12 09:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -18.84%E -2.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -10.35%E -8.28%K -41.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -24.92%E -5.54%K -7.12%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-11 23:04
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.04%EV -24.64%E -3.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.92%EV -11.78%E -9.58%K -51.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.04%EV -21.58%E -4.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-11 23:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 16.78%1.22I 81.97%NM 60.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 22.71%35.5%2026-05-12 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 16.78%1.22I 81.97%NM 60.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 22.71%35.5%2026-05-12 08:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 16.78%1.22I 81.97%NM 60.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 22.71%35.5%2026-05-12 08:00
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 15.72%1.07I 93.46%NM 63.16%3.20I 31.25%NM 21.12%48.0%2026-05-11 22:49