La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Estoril v Benfica
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Estoril (Casa)
Previsione 11.59%8.63quota equa
EV +7.48%
Vantaggio +0.807%
Kelly +0.904%
Crescita +0.068%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.27
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.13%11.55%11.70%13.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.897.909.2715.38%12.68%12.66%10.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Benfica (Trasferta)
Previsione 71.72%1.39quota equa
EV -4.61%
Vantaggio -3.47%
Kelly -13.97%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.66%71.64%71.67%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.231.291.301.3381.30%77.42%76.92%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 16.68%5.99quota equa
EV +3.61%
Vantaggio +0.581%
Kelly +0.693%
Crescita +0.025%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.62%16.81%16.63%19.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.425.506.2122.22%18.46%18.18%16.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 9.27I 10.79%NM 10.13%EV +7.48%E +0.807%K +0.904%G +0.068% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.68%EV -11.41%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 09:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +4.35%E +0.483%K +0.543%G +0.024% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -3.23%E -0.557%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| 1xBet | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.90%EV +3.19%E +0.358%K +0.403%G +0.013% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.48%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.62%EV +3.61%E +0.581%K +0.693%G +0.025% | 3.1% | 2026-05-11 23:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.61%EV +1.45%E +0.165%K +0.187%G +0.003% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.52%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 23:48 |
| Coolbet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -1.45%E -0.171%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -1.45%E -0.171%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -12.41%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 23:47 |
| NetBet (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -1.45%E -0.171%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -11.07%E -8.92%K -46.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-12 09:53 |
| Pinnacle | 8.36I 11.96%NM 11.25%EV -3.07%E -0.368%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.36%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.39%EV -4.23%E -0.737%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 07:52 |
| Betr (AU) | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -4.35%E -0.527%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| Coral | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.05%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.106%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 20:49 |
| FanDuel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.47%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -1.56%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 08:03 |
| Fanatics | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 22:10 |
| Bet Right | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 00:05 |
| betfred_uk | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
| Everygame | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| Betsson | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.90%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| NordicBet | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.90%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| Marathon Bet | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.22%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 09:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.17%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.18%EV -11.07%E -8.92%K -46.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| BetMGM | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -10.15%E -1.31%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.02%EV -11.89%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.37%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.02%EV -11.89%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.37%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Neds | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 20:49 |
| Betway | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| 888sport | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| William Hill | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.27%EV -15.94%E -2.20%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.62%EV -9.63%E -7.64%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -13.24%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -18.84%E -2.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-11 22:09 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -18.84%E -2.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.35%E -8.28%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-12 09:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -18.84%E -2.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -10.35%E -8.28%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -24.92%E -5.54%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.04%EV -24.64%E -3.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 68.92%EV -11.78%E -9.58%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.04%EV -21.58%E -4.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 16.78% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 60.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 22.71% | 35.5% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 16.78% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 60.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 22.71% | 35.5% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 16.78% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 60.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 22.71% | 35.5% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 15.72% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 63.16% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 21.12% | 48.0% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |