مدرسة الاحتمالاتEstoril v Benfica
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Estoril (المضيف)
التنبؤ 11.59%8.63السعر العادل
EV +7.48%
الأفضلية +0.807%
Kelly +0.904%
النمو +0.068%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.27
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.13%11.55%11.70%13.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.507.897.909.2715.38%12.68%12.66%10.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Benfica (الضيف)
التنبؤ 71.72%1.39السعر العادل
EV -4.61%
الأفضلية -3.47%
Kelly -13.97%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.33
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.66%71.64%71.67%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.231.291.301.3381.30%77.42%76.92%75.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 16.68%5.99السعر العادل
EV +3.61%
الأفضلية +0.581%
Kelly +0.693%
النمو +0.025%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.21
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.62%16.81%16.63%19.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.425.506.2122.22%18.46%18.18%16.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (37 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 9.27I 10.79%NM 10.13%EV +7.48%E +0.807%K +0.904%G +0.068% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.68%EV -11.41%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 09:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +4.35%E +0.483%K +0.543%G +0.024% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -3.23%E -0.557%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| 1xBet | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.90%EV +3.19%E +0.358%K +0.403%G +0.013% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.48%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.62%EV +3.61%E +0.581%K +0.693%G +0.025% | 3.1% | 2026-05-11 23:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.61%EV +1.45%E +0.165%K +0.187%G +0.003% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.52%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 23:48 |
| Coolbet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -1.45%E -0.171%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -1.45%E -0.171%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -12.41%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 23:47 |
| NetBet (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -1.45%E -0.171%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -11.07%E -8.92%K -46.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-12 09:53 |
| Pinnacle | 8.36I 11.96%NM 11.25%EV -3.07%E -0.368%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.36%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.39%EV -4.23%E -0.737%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 07:52 |
| Betr (AU) | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -4.35%E -0.527%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| Coral | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.05%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.106%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 20:49 |
| FanDuel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.47%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -1.56%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 08:03 |
| Fanatics | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 22:10 |
| Bet Right | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 00:05 |
| betfred_uk | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
| Everygame | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| Betsson | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.90%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| NordicBet | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.90%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| Marathon Bet | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.22%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 09:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.17%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.18%EV -11.07%E -8.92%K -46.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| BetMGM | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -10.15%E -1.31%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.02%EV -11.89%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.37%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.02%EV -11.89%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.37%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Neds | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 20:49 |
| Betway | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| 888sport | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| William Hill | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.27%EV -15.94%E -2.20%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.62%EV -9.63%E -7.64%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -13.24%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -18.84%E -2.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-11 22:09 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -18.84%E -2.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.35%E -8.28%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-12 09:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -18.84%E -2.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -10.35%E -8.28%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -24.92%E -5.54%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.04%EV -24.64%E -3.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 68.92%EV -11.78%E -9.58%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.04%EV -21.58%E -4.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 16.78% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 60.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 22.71% | 35.5% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 16.78% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 60.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 22.71% | 35.5% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 16.78% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 60.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 22.71% | 35.5% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 15.72% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 63.16% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 21.12% | 48.0% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |