Die Schule der Quoten

Estoril v Benfica

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-17 16:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Estoril (Heim)

Prognose 11.59%8.63faire Quote
EV +7.48%
Vorteil +0.807%
Kelly +0.904%
Wachstum +0.068%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.27

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.13%11.55%11.70%13.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.507.897.909.2715.38%12.68%12.66%10.79%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Benfica (Auswärts)

Prognose 71.72%1.39faire Quote
EV -4.61%
Vorteil -3.47%
Kelly -13.97%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.66%71.64%71.67%73.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.231.291.301.3381.30%77.42%76.92%75.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 16.68%5.99faire Quote
EV +3.61%
Vorteil +0.581%
Kelly +0.693%
Wachstum +0.025%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.21

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.62%16.81%16.63%19.07%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.505.425.506.2122.22%18.46%18.18%16.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
GTbets9.27I 10.79%NM 10.13%EV +7.48%E +0.807%K +0.904%G +0.068%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.68%EV -11.41%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 09:54
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +4.35%E +0.483%K +0.543%G +0.024%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -3.23%E -0.557%K -0.673%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 23:49
1xBet8.90I 11.24%NM 10.90%EV +3.19%E +0.358%K +0.403%G +0.013%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.48%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.62%EV +3.61%E +0.581%K +0.693%G +0.025%3.1%2026-05-11 23:34
Betclic (FR)8.75I 11.43%NM 10.61%EV +1.45%E +0.165%K +0.187%G +0.003%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.52%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 23:48
Coolbet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -1.45%E -0.171%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 22:00
Unibet (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -1.45%E -0.171%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -12.41%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 23:47
NetBet (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -1.45%E -0.171%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -11.07%E -8.92%K -46.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-12 09:53
Pinnacle8.36I 11.96%NM 11.25%EV -3.07%E -0.368%K -0.418%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.36%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.39%EV -4.23%E -0.737%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 07:52
Betr (AU)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -4.35%E -0.527%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 08:04
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.05%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.106%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 20:49
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.47%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -1.56%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 08:03
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 22:10
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 00:05
betfred_uk8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 08:04
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 22:05
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 22:04
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -7.25%E -0.906%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 07:43
Betsson7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.90%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 07:44
NordicBet7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.90%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 07:43
Marathon Bet7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.22%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 09:54
Unibet (FR)7.90I 12.66%NM 11.17%EV -8.41%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.18%EV -11.07%E -8.92%K -46.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-11 23:49
BetMGM7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -10.15%E -1.31%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.61%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.07%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 20:55
LowVig.ag7.60I 13.16%NM 12.02%EV -11.89%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.37%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 07:44
BetOnline.ag7.60I 13.16%NM 12.02%EV -11.89%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.37%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 07:44
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 20:49
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 08:49
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 08:24
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 08:24
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 08:24
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.04%E -1.74%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 08:24
Winamax (DE)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.27%EV -15.94%E -2.20%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 70.62%EV -9.63%E -7.64%K -37.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -13.24%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-11 23:49
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -18.84%E -2.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-11 22:09
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -18.84%E -2.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.35%E -8.28%K -41.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -16.58%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-12 09:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -18.84%E -2.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -10.35%E -8.28%K -41.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -24.92%E -5.54%K -7.12%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-11 23:04
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.04%EV -24.64%E -3.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.92%EV -11.78%E -9.58%K -51.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.04%EV -21.58%E -4.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-11 23:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 16.78%1.22I 81.97%NM 60.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 22.71%35.5%2026-05-12 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 16.78%1.22I 81.97%NM 60.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 22.71%35.5%2026-05-12 08:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 16.78%1.22I 81.97%NM 60.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 22.71%35.5%2026-05-12 08:00
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 15.72%1.07I 93.46%NM 63.16%3.20I 31.25%NM 21.12%48.0%2026-05-11 22:49