Language:English
CS Maritimo v Casa Pia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CS Maritimo (Local)
Prediction 47.98%2.08fair odd
EV -0.205%
Edge -0.098%
Kelly -0.190%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%47.80%47.96%49.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.951.952.0854.95%51.38%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Casa Pia (Visit)
Prediction 23.09%4.33fair odd
EV -0.730%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.221%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.73%23.26%23.04%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.924.004.3029.85%25.48%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.94%3.46fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.08%28.93%29.00%29.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.173.203.3033.33%31.53%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CS Maritimo (Local): 47.98%; Casa Pia (Visit): 23.09%; Draw: 28.94%. For CS Maritimo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.084. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.080, with an expected value of -0.205%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -0.205%E -0.098%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -22.66%E -6.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -1.64%E -0.802%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -5.09%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -1.64%E -0.802%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -5.09%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.54%EV -3.08%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.09%EV -3.96%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.08%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -7.19%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -5.96%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.42%EV -5.96%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -6.92%E -3.57%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.723%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.85%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.72%E -3.12%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 14:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.85%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.72%E -3.12%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 14:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.80%E -5.21%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.60%EV -7.99%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -9.80%E -5.21%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.58%E -3.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -10.28%E -5.50%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.24%EV -10.28%E -5.50%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.69%EV -12.68%E -6.97%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
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