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CS Maritimo v Casa Pia
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
CS Maritimo (Хозяева)
Прогноз 47.98%2.08справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.205%
Преимущество -0.098%
Kelly -0.190%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.08
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.42%47.80%47.96%49.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.821.951.952.0854.95%51.38%51.28%48.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Casa Pia (Гости)
Прогноз 23.09%4.33справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.730%
Преимущество -0.170%
Kelly -0.221%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.73%23.26%23.04%26.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.353.924.004.3029.85%25.48%25.00%23.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.94%3.46справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.51%
Преимущество -1.37%
Kelly -1.96%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.08%28.93%29.00%29.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.173.203.3033.33%31.53%31.25%30.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: CS Maritimo (Хозяева): 47.98%; Casa Pia (Гости): 23.09%; Ничья: 28.94%. Для исхода «CS Maritimo (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.084. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.080, математическое ожидание — -0.205%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -0.205%E -0.098%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -22.66%E -6.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -1.64%E -0.802%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -5.09%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -1.64%E -0.802%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -5.09%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.54%EV -3.08%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.09%EV -3.96%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.08%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -7.19%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -5.96%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.42%EV -5.96%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -6.92%E -3.57%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.723%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.85%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.72%E -3.12%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 14:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.85%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.72%E -3.12%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 14:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.80%E -5.21%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.60%EV -7.99%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -9.80%E -5.21%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.58%E -3.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -10.28%E -5.50%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.24%EV -10.28%E -5.50%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.69%EV -12.68%E -6.97%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |