Idioma:Español
CS Maritimo v Casa Pia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CS Maritimo (Local)
Predicción 47.98%2.08momio equitativo
EV -0.205%
Ventaja -0.098%
Kelly -0.190%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.42%47.80%47.96%49.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.821.951.952.0854.95%51.38%51.28%48.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Casa Pia (Visitante)
Predicción 23.09%4.33momio equitativo
EV -0.730%
Ventaja -0.170%
Kelly -0.221%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.73%23.26%23.04%26.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.924.004.3029.85%25.48%25.00%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.94%3.46momio equitativo
EV -4.51%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.08%28.93%29.00%29.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.173.203.3033.33%31.53%31.25%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: CS Maritimo (Local): 47.98%; Casa Pia (Visitante): 23.09%; Empate: 28.94%. Para CS Maritimo (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.084. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.080, con un valor esperado de -0.205%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -0.205%E -0.098%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -22.66%E -6.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -1.64%E -0.802%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -5.09%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -1.64%E -0.802%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -5.09%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.54%EV -3.08%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.09%EV -3.96%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.08%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -7.19%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -5.96%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.42%EV -5.96%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -6.92%E -3.57%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.723%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.85%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.72%E -3.12%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 14:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.85%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.72%E -3.12%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 14:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.80%E -5.21%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.60%EV -7.99%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -9.80%E -5.21%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.58%E -3.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -10.28%E -5.50%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.24%EV -10.28%E -5.50%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.69%EV -12.68%E -6.97%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |