Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CS Maritimo v Casa Pia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 14:30 UTC

Score final : CS Maritimo 1–0 Casa Pia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CS Maritimo (Local)

Prévision 47.98%2.08cote équitable
EV -0.205%
Avantage -0.098%
Kelly -0.190%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.42%47.80%47.96%49.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.821.951.952.0854.95%51.38%51.28%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Casa Pia (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.09%4.33cote équitable
EV -0.730%
Avantage -0.170%
Kelly -0.221%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.73%23.26%23.04%26.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.924.004.3029.85%25.48%25.00%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.94%3.46cote équitable
EV -4.51%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.08%28.93%29.00%29.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.173.203.3033.33%31.53%31.25%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : CS Maritimo (Local) : 47.98% ; Casa Pia (Visiteur) : 23.09% ; Match nul : 28.94%. Pour CS Maritimo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.084. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.080, pour une espérance de -0.205% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -0.205%E -0.098%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -22.66%E -6.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -1.64%E -0.802%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -5.09%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -1.64%E -0.802%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -5.09%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 13:40
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.54%EV -3.08%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.09%EV -3.96%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 14:15
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.08%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -7.19%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:19
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:25
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:24
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:25
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:24
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -5.96%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 14:19
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.42%EV -5.96%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:24
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:19
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:24
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 14:04
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:25
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:24
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -6.92%E -3.57%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.723%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:24
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:19
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 14:19
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:23
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:24
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.85%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.72%E -3.12%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 14:18
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.85%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.72%E -3.12%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 14:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 14:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 14:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.80%E -5.21%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.60%EV -7.99%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -9.80%E -5.21%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.58%E -3.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -10.28%E -5.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.24%EV -10.28%E -5.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 14:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.69%EV -12.68%E -6.97%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 14:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-08-08 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-08 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-08 14:25
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-08-08 14:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%2.1%2026-08-08 14:25