Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CS Maritimo v Casa Pia

Início: 2026-08-08 14:30 UTC

Final: CS Maritimo 1–0 Casa Pia

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CS Maritimo (Local)

Previsão 47.98%2.08odd justa
EV -0.205%
Vantagem -0.098%
Kelly -0.190%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.42%47.80%47.96%49.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.951.952.0854.95%51.38%51.28%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Casa Pia (Visitante)

Previsão 23.09%4.33odd justa
EV -0.730%
Vantagem -0.170%
Kelly -0.221%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.73%23.26%23.04%26.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.924.004.3029.85%25.48%25.00%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.94%3.46odd justa
EV -4.51%
Vantagem -1.37%
Kelly -1.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.08%28.93%29.00%29.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.173.203.3033.33%31.53%31.25%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: CS Maritimo (Local): 47.98%; Casa Pia (Visitante): 23.09%; Empate: 28.94%. Para CS Maritimo (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.084. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.080, com valor esperado de -0.205%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -0.205%E -0.098%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -22.66%E -6.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -1.64%E -0.802%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -5.09%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -1.64%E -0.802%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -5.09%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 13:40
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.54%EV -3.08%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.09%EV -3.96%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 14:15
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.08%E -1.53%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -7.19%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:19
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:25
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:24
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:25
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:24
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -5.96%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 14:19
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.42%EV -5.96%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:24
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:19
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:24
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 14:04
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:25
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:24
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -6.92%E -3.57%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.74%E -4.31%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.75%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.723%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:24
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:19
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.88%E -4.10%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 14:19
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:23
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.96%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:24
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.85%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.72%E -3.12%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 14:18
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.85%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.72%E -3.12%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 14:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 14:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.41%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 14:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.89%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.80%E -5.21%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.60%EV -7.99%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -9.80%E -5.21%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.58%E -3.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -10.28%E -5.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.24%EV -10.28%E -5.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.85%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 14:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.69%EV -12.68%E -6.97%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.30%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 14:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-08-08 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-08 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-08 14:25
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-08-08 14:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%2.1%2026-08-08 14:25