Language:English
CS Maritimo v Benfica
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CS Maritimo (Local)
Prediction 8.93%11.19fair odd
EV +7.20%
Edge +0.600%
Kelly +0.655%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.68%9.00%8.97%10.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.7011.0012.0011.76%9.35%9.09%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Benfica (Visit)
Prediction 75.02%1.33fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -11.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.73%74.72%75.10%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.231.231.2984.03%81.22%81.30%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.05%6.23fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -0.618%
Kelly -0.741%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.00%16.28%15.93%19.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.675.606.0020.83%17.62%17.86%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CS Maritimo (Local): 8.93%; Benfica (Visit): 75.02%; Draw: 16.05%. For CS Maritimo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.19. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 05:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.88%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -22.97%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.88%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -22.97%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -19.76%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 03:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 17:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 10.94I 9.14%NM 8.78%EV -2.27%E -0.207%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.48%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.74%EV -7.88%E -1.37%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 10:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.98%EV -8.43%E -0.823%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.43%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.15I 9.85%NM 9.30%EV -9.33%E -0.919%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.90%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 15.81%EV -4.19%E -0.702%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.76%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.10%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.23%EV -12.90%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.40%EV -9.23%E -7.63%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -24.07%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.80% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.42% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.78% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |