StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

CS Maritimo v Benfica

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-05 17:00 UTC

Endstand: CS Maritimo 0–3 Benfica

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

CS Maritimo (Heim)

Prognose 8.93%11.19faire Quote
EV +7.20%
Vorteil +0.600%
Kelly +0.655%
Wachstum +0.047%

bei einer Höchstquote von 12.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.68%9.00%8.97%10.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.5010.7011.0012.0011.76%9.35%9.09%8.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Benfica (Auswärts)

Prognose 75.02%1.33faire Quote
EV -3.23%
Vorteil -2.50%
Kelly -11.13%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.73%74.72%75.10%76.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.191.231.231.2984.03%81.22%81.30%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 16.05%6.23faire Quote
EV -3.71%
Vorteil -0.618%
Kelly -0.741%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.00%16.28%15.93%19.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.805.675.606.0020.83%17.62%17.86%16.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: CS Maritimo (Heim): 8.93%; Benfica (Auswärts): 75.02%; Unentschieden: 16.05%. Für CS Maritimo (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 11.19. 13 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 12.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.20%.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Casumo🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 11:49
Grosvenor🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 11:49
ATG (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 11:49
Bally Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 11:49
betPARX🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:50
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 05:35
Betr (AU)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 05:34
SportsBet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 05:35
NordicBet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.88%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -22.97%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 07:59
Betsson🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.88%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -22.97%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 07:59
Unibet (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 09:24
Fanatics🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:10
PlayUp🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -19.76%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Bet Right🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 03:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 05:35
betfred_uk🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 17:04
Unibet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:50
BetRivers🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:49
TABtouch🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:49
GTbets🎯10.94I 9.14%NM 8.78%EV -2.27%E -0.207%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.48%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.74%EV -7.88%E -1.37%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 10:50
FanDuel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:05
betano_uk🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 10:49
Bet Victor🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 10:45
Virgin Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 8.98%EV -8.43%E -0.823%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.43%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 09:24
Pinnacle🎯10.15I 9.85%NM 9.30%EV -9.33%E -0.919%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.90%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.81%EV -4.19%E -0.702%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:40
DraftKings🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 12:50
Bovada🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:27
BetUS🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:30
Sky Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 17:05
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 09:20
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 09:19
888sport (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 09:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 09:15
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.76%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 08:05
Unibet (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.10%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 09:25
NetBet (FR)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.23%EV -12.90%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.40%EV -9.23%E -7.63%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 12:24
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -24.07%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-09-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-09-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-09-04 11:30
Matchbook◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Smarkets◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.80%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.42%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.78%2.5%2026-09-04 11:45