默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

CS Maritimo v Benfica

2026-09-05 17:00 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

CS Maritimo (主队)

预测 9.62%10.39公平赔率
EV +5.87%
优势 +0.534%
Kelly +0.587%
增长率 +0.035%

假设最高赔率为 11.00

博彩公司预测分布
8.46%9.73%9.53%11.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.759.509.5011.0012.90%10.53%10.53%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

Benfica (客队)

预测 72.93%1.37公平赔率
EV -5.20%
优势 -4.00%
Kelly -17.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.30

博彩公司预测分布
71.67%72.85%72.86%75.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.271.261.3081.97%79.00%79.37%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 17.45%5.73公平赔率
EV -0.535%
优势 -0.094%
Kelly -0.114%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.70

博彩公司预测分布
16.45%17.42%17.60%18.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.955.245.255.7020.20%19.10%19.05%17.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:CS Maritimo (主队):9.62%;Benfica (客队):72.93%;平局:17.45%。 对于“CS Maritimo (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.39。 有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为11.00,由此产生+5.87%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +5.87%E +0.534%K +0.587%G +0.035%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.87%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.55%EV -0.535%E -0.094%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +5.87%E +0.534%K +0.587%G +0.035%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -7.39%E -5.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -4.03%E -0.732%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 12:35
SportsBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +5.87%E +0.534%K +0.587%G +0.035%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.02%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.45%EV -0.535%E -0.094%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 12:35
Paddy Power🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +5.87%E +0.534%K +0.587%G +0.035%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.03%E -0.732%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 12:34
Bet Right🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV +5.87%E +0.534%K +0.587%G +0.035%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.83%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 12:29
Fanatics🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -3.75%E -0.375%K -0.417%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.93%E -4.59%K -20.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.03%E -0.732%K -0.895%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 13:00
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.75%E -0.375%K -0.417%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -4.03%E -0.732%K -0.895%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 12:29
GTbets🎯9.83I 10.17%NM 9.53%EV -5.39%E -0.548%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.21%EV -6.66%E -5.20%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.26%EV -5.25%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 13:05
Marathon Bet🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -5.68%E -0.579%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -6.66%E -5.20%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -7.52%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -5.68%E -0.579%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.79%EV -7.39%E -5.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -5.68%E -0.579%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.79%EV -7.39%E -5.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 13:05
Casumo🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV -8.56%E -0.901%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -5.20%E -4.00%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -7.52%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 08:20
Grosvenor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV -8.56%E -0.901%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -5.20%E -4.00%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -7.52%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV -8.56%E -0.901%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -5.20%E -4.00%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -7.52%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV -8.56%E -0.901%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -5.20%E -4.00%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -7.52%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 08:20
Bally Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV -8.56%E -0.901%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -5.20%E -4.00%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -7.52%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 08:20
betPARX🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV -8.56%E -0.901%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -5.20%E -4.00%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -7.52%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 08:20
Unibet (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.56%E -0.901%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -7.39%E -5.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 12:29
BoyleSports🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.56%E -0.901%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 9.83%EV -10.97%E -1.19%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.33%EV -9.57%E -7.72%K -39.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 12:30
BetRivers🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -13.38%E -1.49%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -7.39%E -5.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 08:20
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -13.38%E -1.49%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -7.39%E -5.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 08:20
TABtouch🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -13.38%E -1.49%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -7.39%E -5.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 08:20
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -13.38%E -1.49%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -13.38%E -1.49%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -13.38%E -1.49%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -13.38%E -1.49%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -13.38%E -1.49%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -13.38%E -1.49%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 08:20
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -13.38%E -1.49%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -11.03%E -9.04%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 10.55%EV -20.11%E -2.42%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.76%EV -11.03%E -9.04%K -50.14%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.69%EV -13.62%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -23.00%E -2.88%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.22%EV -9.57%E -7.72%K -39.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.38%EV -25.41%E -3.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.67%EV -10.30%E -8.38%K -44.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.95%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-31 12:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-08-31 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-08-31 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-08-31 12:50