语言:简体中文
CS Maritimo v Benfica
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
CS Maritimo (主队)
预测 8.93%11.19公平赔率
EV +7.20%
优势 +0.600%
Kelly +0.655%
增长率 +0.047%
假设最高赔率为 12.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.68%9.00%8.97%10.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.5010.7011.0012.0011.76%9.35%9.09%8.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Benfica (客队)
预测 75.02%1.33公平赔率
EV -3.23%
优势 -2.50%
Kelly -11.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.29
博彩公司预测分布
72.73%74.72%75.10%76.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.191.231.231.2984.03%81.22%81.30%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 16.05%6.23公平赔率
EV -3.71%
优势 -0.618%
Kelly -0.741%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 6.00
博彩公司预测分布
15.00%16.28%15.93%19.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.675.606.0020.83%17.62%17.86%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：CS Maritimo (主队)：8.93%；Benfica (客队)：75.02%；平局：16.05%。 对于“CS Maritimo (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.19。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.00，对应+7.20%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 05:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.88%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -22.97%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.88%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -22.97%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -19.76%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 03:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 17:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 10.94I 9.14%NM 8.78%EV -2.27%E -0.207%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.48%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.74%EV -7.88%E -1.37%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 10:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.98%EV -8.43%E -0.823%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.43%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.15I 9.85%NM 9.30%EV -9.33%E -0.919%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.90%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 15.81%EV -4.19%E -0.702%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.76%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.10%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.23%EV -12.90%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.40%EV -9.23%E -7.63%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -24.07%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.80% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.42% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.78% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |